White House confirmation in late March rescheduled President Trump's Beijing summit with Xi Jinping for May 14-15, previously delayed by the US-Iran war, anchoring trader consensus around mid-May dates and positioning May 13 at 41% implied probability amid speculation on pre-summit arrival protocols common in presidential diplomacy. Recent April 30 US-China trade chiefs' "candid" call and Japan's requested Tokyo stopover signal firm preparations, while Taiwan features prominently on Beijing's agenda. Stalled Iran peace talks sustain 23% odds for no visit by May 31, highlighting geopolitical risks that could prompt further postponement despite historical patterns favoring scheduled summits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Trump visit China on...?
Will Trump visit China on...?
May 13 41%
May 14 26%
No visit by May 31 23%
May 15 3.5%
$187,694 Vol.
$187,694 Vol.
May 31, 2026
On or prior to May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
<1%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
1%
May 13
41%
May 14
26%
May 15
3%
May 16
2%
May 17
1%
May 18
1%
May 19
1%
May 20
1%
May 21
1%
May 22
1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
1%
May 25
2%
May 26
1%
May 27
1%
May 28
1%
May 29
1%
May 30
1%
May 31
1%
No visit by May 31
23%
May 13 41%
May 14 26%
No visit by May 31 23%
May 15 3.5%
$187,694 Vol.
$187,694 Vol.
May 31, 2026
On or prior to May 1
$13,153 Vol.
<1%
May 2
$1,972 Vol.
<1%
May 3
$1,970 Vol.
<1%
May 4
$2,125 Vol.
<1%
May 5
$4,293 Vol.
<1%
May 6
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
May 7
$3,820 Vol.
<1%
May 8
$4,088 Vol.
<1%
May 9
$3,574 Vol.
<1%
May 10
$3,460 Vol.
<1%
May 11
$3,702 Vol.
<1%
May 12
$4,095 Vol.
1%
May 13
$35,616 Vol.
41%
May 14
$12,567 Vol.
26%
May 15
$12,714 Vol.
3%
May 16
$5,325 Vol.
2%
May 17
$3,667 Vol.
1%
May 18
$3,443 Vol.
1%
May 19
$3,961 Vol.
1%
May 20
$4,650 Vol.
1%
May 21
$3,775 Vol.
1%
May 22
$3,586 Vol.
1%
May 23
$3,434 Vol.
<1%
May 24
$3,366 Vol.
1%
May 25
$4,559 Vol.
2%
May 26
$3,520 Vol.
1%
May 27
$3,274 Vol.
1%
May 28
$3,570 Vol.
1%
May 29
$3,519 Vol.
1%
May 30
$3,621 Vol.
1%
May 31
$3,658 Vol.
1%
No visit by May 31
$15,818 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation in late March rescheduled President Trump's Beijing summit with Xi Jinping for May 14-15, previously delayed by the US-Iran war, anchoring trader consensus around mid-May dates and positioning May 13 at 41% implied probability amid speculation on pre-summit arrival protocols common in presidential diplomacy. Recent April 30 US-China trade chiefs' "candid" call and Japan's requested Tokyo stopover signal firm preparations, while Taiwan features prominently on Beijing's agenda. Stalled Iran peace talks sustain 23% odds for no visit by May 31, highlighting geopolitical risks that could prompt further postponement despite historical patterns favoring scheduled summits.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Volume
$187,694End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation in late March rescheduled President Trump's Beijing summit with Xi Jinping for May 14-15, previously delayed by the US-Iran war, anchoring trader consensus around mid-May dates and positioning May 13 at 41% implied probability amid speculation on pre-summit arrival protocols common in presidential diplomacy. Recent April 30 US-China trade chiefs' "candid" call and Japan's requested Tokyo stopover signal firm preparations, while Taiwan features prominently on Beijing's agenda. Stalled Iran peace talks sustain 23% odds for no visit by May 31, highlighting geopolitical risks that could prompt further postponement despite historical patterns favoring scheduled summits.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$187,694End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...White House confirmation in late March rescheduled President Trump's Beijing summit with Xi Jinping for May 14-15, previously delayed by the US-Iran war, anchoring trader consensus around mid-May dates and positioning May 13 at 41% implied probability amid speculation on pre-summit arrival protocols common in presidential diplomacy. Recent April 30 US-China trade chiefs' "candid" call and Japan's requested Tokyo stopover signal firm preparations, while Taiwan features prominently on Beijing's agenda. Stalled Iran peace talks sustain 23% odds for no visit by May 31, highlighting geopolitical risks that could prompt further postponement despite historical patterns favoring scheduled summits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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