Iran's theocratic governance under Sharia law, enshrined in the Islamic Penal Code, criminalizes same-sex sexual activity with penalties up to death, rendering gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with the regime's constitutional framework overseen by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the Guardian Council. No legislative proposals, reformist pushes, or official announcements on LGBTQ rights have emerged in recent months, with 2026 reports confirming ongoing enforcement and discrimination against LGBTQ individuals. Trader consensus at 97.8% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and historical precedents of zero liberalization on social issues. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented events like regime change or a successor Supreme Leader endorsing radical reforms, though such scenarios remain highly improbable absent major upheaval.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$44,427 Vol.
$44,427 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$44,427 Vol.
$44,427 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's theocratic governance under Sharia law, enshrined in the Islamic Penal Code, criminalizes same-sex sexual activity with penalties up to death, rendering gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with the regime's constitutional framework overseen by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the Guardian Council. No legislative proposals, reformist pushes, or official announcements on LGBTQ rights have emerged in recent months, with 2026 reports confirming ongoing enforcement and discrimination against LGBTQ individuals. Trader consensus at 97.8% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and historical precedents of zero liberalization on social issues. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented events like regime change or a successor Supreme Leader endorsing radical reforms, though such scenarios remain highly improbable absent major upheaval.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Volume
$44,427End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's theocratic governance under Sharia law, enshrined in the Islamic Penal Code, criminalizes same-sex sexual activity with penalties up to death, rendering gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with the regime's constitutional framework overseen by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the Guardian Council. No legislative proposals, reformist pushes, or official announcements on LGBTQ rights have emerged in recent months, with 2026 reports confirming ongoing enforcement and discrimination against LGBTQ individuals. Trader consensus at 97.8% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and historical precedents of zero liberalization on social issues. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented events like regime change or a successor Supreme Leader endorsing radical reforms, though such scenarios remain highly improbable absent major upheaval.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$44,427End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's theocratic governance under Sharia law, enshrined in the Islamic Penal Code, criminalizes same-sex sexual activity with penalties up to death, rendering gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with the regime's constitutional framework overseen by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the Guardian Council. No legislative proposals, reformist pushes, or official announcements on LGBTQ rights have emerged in recent months, with 2026 reports confirming ongoing enforcement and discrimination against LGBTQ individuals. Trader consensus at 97.8% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and historical precedents of zero liberalization on social issues. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented events like regime change or a successor Supreme Leader endorsing radical reforms, though such scenarios remain highly improbable absent major upheaval.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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