Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election delivered a landslide victory for Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, securing a supermajority in the National Assembly and prompting Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years as prime minister. Orbán subsequently relinquished his parliamentary seat and offered to step down as Fidesz leader—though the party declined—shifting focus to reorganizing from outside government. This outcome drives trader consensus to 99.7% implied probability of Orbán being out of office by December 31, reflecting the procedural handover to Magyar as next prime minister amid high voter turnout rejecting Fidesz rule. While near-certain, reversal could stem from a no-confidence vote toppling the new coalition government, snap election, or unforeseen legal challenges delaying transition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
$194,495 Vol.
$194,495 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$194,495 Vol.
$194,495 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election delivered a landslide victory for Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, securing a supermajority in the National Assembly and prompting Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years as prime minister. Orbán subsequently relinquished his parliamentary seat and offered to step down as Fidesz leader—though the party declined—shifting focus to reorganizing from outside government. This outcome drives trader consensus to 99.7% implied probability of Orbán being out of office by December 31, reflecting the procedural handover to Magyar as next prime minister amid high voter turnout rejecting Fidesz rule. While near-certain, reversal could stem from a no-confidence vote toppling the new coalition government, snap election, or unforeseen legal challenges delaying transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Volume
$194,495End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election delivered a landslide victory for Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, securing a supermajority in the National Assembly and prompting Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years as prime minister. Orbán subsequently relinquished his parliamentary seat and offered to step down as Fidesz leader—though the party declined—shifting focus to reorganizing from outside government. This outcome drives trader consensus to 99.7% implied probability of Orbán being out of office by December 31, reflecting the procedural handover to Magyar as next prime minister amid high voter turnout rejecting Fidesz rule. While near-certain, reversal could stem from a no-confidence vote toppling the new coalition government, snap election, or unforeseen legal challenges delaying transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$194,495End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election delivered a landslide victory for Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party, securing a supermajority in the National Assembly and prompting Viktor Orbán to concede after 16 years as prime minister. Orbán subsequently relinquished his parliamentary seat and offered to step down as Fidesz leader—though the party declined—shifting focus to reorganizing from outside government. This outcome drives trader consensus to 99.7% implied probability of Orbán being out of office by December 31, reflecting the procedural handover to Magyar as next prime minister amid high voter turnout rejecting Fidesz rule. While near-certain, reversal could stem from a no-confidence vote toppling the new coalition government, snap election, or unforeseen legal challenges delaying transition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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