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icon for Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Politics·Orban

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

icon for Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Politics·Orban

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

57% chance
Polymarket

$43,723 Vol.

57% chance
Polymarket

$43,723 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peter Magyar's TISZA party secured a two-thirds supermajority in Hungary's April 2026 parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power and positioning Magyar as prime minister. Following his April 15 meeting with President Tamás Sulyok—elected in 2024 by the prior Fidesz-dominated parliament—Magyar demanded Sulyok's immediate resignation, deeming him unfit as an Orbán ally and threatening legislation to remove him if needed; he reiterated this on April 20. Sulyok tasked Magyar with forming a government, with parliament set to convene in early May. Traders price "Yes" at 57.5% reflecting TISZA's leverage to impeach via constitutional vote or amend rules before June 30, tempered by procedural timelines and Sulyok's refusal to step down voluntarily.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,723
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peter Magyar's TISZA party secured a two-thirds supermajority in Hungary's April 2026 parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power and positioning Magyar as prime minister. Following his April 15 meeting with President Tamás Sulyok—elected in 2024 by the prior Fidesz-dominated parliament—Magyar demanded Sulyok's immediate resignation, deeming him unfit as an Orbán ally and threatening legislation to remove him if needed; he reiterated this on April 20. Sulyok tasked Magyar with forming a government, with parliament set to convene in early May. Traders price "Yes" at 57.5% reflecting TISZA's leverage to impeach via constitutional vote or amend rules before June 30, tempered by procedural timelines and Sulyok's refusal to step down voluntarily.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,723
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 57% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 57¢, the market collectively assigns a 57% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" has generated $43.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" is 57% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 57% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.