Trader consensus heavily favors Trump remaining President through May 31, reflecting his secure position 15 months into his term following the January 2025 inauguration, with no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Recent administration actions, including executive orders on border security and economic policy, proceed routinely amid Republican majorities in Congress that block removal efforts. Positive health updates and lack of major scandals in the past 30 days reinforce stability. While late-breaking scenarios like a sudden health crisis, bipartisan impeachment vote requiring House passage and two-thirds Senate approval, or unexpected resignation could shift odds, such barriers remain extraordinarily high absent unforeseen catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$85,109 Vol.
$85,109 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$85,109 Vol.
$85,109 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Trump remaining President through May 31, reflecting his secure position 15 months into his term following the January 2025 inauguration, with no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Recent administration actions, including executive orders on border security and economic policy, proceed routinely amid Republican majorities in Congress that block removal efforts. Positive health updates and lack of major scandals in the past 30 days reinforce stability. While late-breaking scenarios like a sudden health crisis, bipartisan impeachment vote requiring House passage and two-thirds Senate approval, or unexpected resignation could shift odds, such barriers remain extraordinarily high absent unforeseen catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$85,109End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Trump remaining President through May 31, reflecting his secure position 15 months into his term following the January 2025 inauguration, with no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Recent administration actions, including executive orders on border security and economic policy, proceed routinely amid Republican majorities in Congress that block removal efforts. Positive health updates and lack of major scandals in the past 30 days reinforce stability. While late-breaking scenarios like a sudden health crisis, bipartisan impeachment vote requiring House passage and two-thirds Senate approval, or unexpected resignation could shift odds, such barriers remain extraordinarily high absent unforeseen catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$86,475End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Trump remaining President through May 31, reflecting his secure position 15 months into his term following the January 2025 inauguration, with no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Recent administration actions, including executive orders on border security and economic policy, proceed routinely amid Republican majorities in Congress that block removal efforts. Positive health updates and lack of major scandals in the past 30 days reinforce stability. While late-breaking scenarios like a sudden health crisis, bipartisan impeachment vote requiring House passage and two-thirds Senate approval, or unexpected resignation could shift odds, such barriers remain extraordinarily high absent unforeseen catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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