Recent diplomatic reports from Reuters and Haaretz indicate the Trump administration plans to soon shut down the US-led Civil-Military Coordination Center (CMCC) in southern Israel, which monitors the Gaza ceasefire, coordinates aid, and oversees post-conflict operations following the October 2025 truce. With no official US announcement yet despite these leaks from seven diplomats, trader consensus prices a 50% implied probability of a formal statement by May 15, reflecting uncertainty over the timeline amid stalled Gaza peace plan implementation and prior Israeli demands for closure. Tipping factors include prompt White House or State Department confirmation boosting Yes odds, while handover delays to European partners or diplomatic reversals could favor No; key watch upcoming administration briefings on foreign policy priorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
NEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent diplomatic reports from Reuters and Haaretz indicate the Trump administration plans to soon shut down the US-led Civil-Military Coordination Center (CMCC) in southern Israel, which monitors the Gaza ceasefire, coordinates aid, and oversees post-conflict operations following the October 2025 truce. With no official US announcement yet despite these leaks from seven diplomats, trader consensus prices a 50% implied probability of a formal statement by May 15, reflecting uncertainty over the timeline amid stalled Gaza peace plan implementation and prior Israeli demands for closure. Tipping factors include prompt White House or State Department confirmation boosting Yes odds, while handover delays to European partners or diplomatic reversals could favor No; key watch upcoming administration briefings on foreign policy priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent diplomatic reports from Reuters and Haaretz indicate the Trump administration plans to soon shut down the US-led Civil-Military Coordination Center (CMCC) in southern Israel, which monitors the Gaza ceasefire, coordinates aid, and oversees post-conflict operations following the October 2025 truce. With no official US announcement yet despite these leaks from seven diplomats, trader consensus prices a 50% implied probability of a formal statement by May 15, reflecting uncertainty over the timeline amid stalled Gaza peace plan implementation and prior Israeli demands for closure. Tipping factors include prompt White House or State Department confirmation boosting Yes odds, while handover delays to European partners or diplomatic reversals could favor No; key watch upcoming administration briefings on foreign policy priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic reports from Reuters and Haaretz indicate the Trump administration plans to soon shut down the US-led Civil-Military Coordination Center (CMCC) in southern Israel, which monitors the Gaza ceasefire, coordinates aid, and oversees post-conflict operations following the October 2025 truce. With no official US announcement yet despite these leaks from seven diplomats, trader consensus prices a 50% implied probability of a formal statement by May 15, reflecting uncertainty over the timeline amid stalled Gaza peace plan implementation and prior Israeli demands for closure. Tipping factors include prompt White House or State Department confirmation boosting Yes odds, while handover delays to European partners or diplomatic reversals could favor No; key watch upcoming administration briefings on foreign policy priorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions