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Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Kareem Allam 55%

Ken Sim 28%

Pete Fry 10.2%

William Azaroff 3.6%

Polymarket

$82,203 Vol.

Kareem Allam 55%

Ken Sim 28%

Pete Fry 10.2%

William Azaroff 3.6%

Polymarket

$82,203 Vol.

icon for Kareem Allam

Kareem Allam

$25,931 Vol.

55%

icon for Ken Sim

Ken Sim

$15,519 Vol.

28%

icon for Pete Fry

Pete Fry

$14,795 Vol.

10%

icon for William Azaroff

William Azaroff

$4,921 Vol.

4%

icon for John Coupar

John Coupar

$3,152 Vol.

1%

icon for Colleen Hardwick

Colleen Hardwick

$2,513 Vol.

1%

icon for Rebecca Bligh

Rebecca Bligh

$2,808 Vol.

1%

icon for Sean Orr

Sean Orr

$2,098 Vol.

1%

icon for Amanda Burrows

Amanda Burrows

$1,786 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Louis

Tim Louis

$4,961 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Harding

Fred Harding

$1,817 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kirk LaPointe

Kirk LaPointe

$1,902 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam leads trader consensus in the 2026 Vancouver mayoral race at 55 percent, reflecting his profile as a former ABC Vancouver campaign manager and Ken Sim chief of staff who launched the Vancouver Liberals party in 2025 after parting ways with the incumbent. Sim, seeking re-election with ABC Vancouver, sits at 27.5 percent amid a fragmented field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry at 10 percent, OneCity’s William Azaroff at 3.8 percent, and additional challengers such as Colleen Hardwick, Rebecca Bligh, and Stephanie Allen. Recent developments include multiple party nominations and council slates announced in spring 2026, plus labour council endorsements favoring Azaroff and calls for progressive vote consolidation. With nominations closing in September and the October 17 vote still months away, traders appear to price in vote splitting among non-ABC candidates and Allam’s organizational advantages as primary drivers of current implied probabilities.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$82,203
End Date
Oct 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.Kareem Allam leads trader consensus in the 2026 Vancouver mayoral race at 55 percent, reflecting his profile as a former ABC Vancouver campaign manager and Ken Sim chief of staff who launched the Vancouver Liberals party in 2025 after parting ways with the incumbent. Sim, seeking re-election with ABC Vancouver, sits at 27.5 percent amid a fragmented field that includes Green councillor Pete Fry at 10 percent, OneCity’s William Azaroff at 3.8 percent, and additional challengers such as Colleen Hardwick, Rebecca Bligh, and Stephanie Allen. Recent developments include multiple party nominations and council slates announced in spring 2026, plus labour council endorsements favoring Azaroff and calls for progressive vote consolidation. With nominations closing in September and the October 17 vote still months away, traders appear to price in vote splitting among non-ABC candidates and Allam’s organizational advantages as primary drivers of current implied probabilities.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$82,203
End Date
Oct 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kareem Allam" at 55%, followed by "Ken Sim" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $82.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" is "Kareem Allam" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ken Sim" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.