Military attacks in March 2026 on QatarEnergy's Ras Laffan Industrial City and Mesaieed LNG facilities prompted a full production halt, force majeure declaration, and CEO Saad Sherida al-Kaabi's estimate of 3-5 years for repairs, anchoring trader consensus at 97.8% "No" for announcement or resumption by April 30. A U.S.-Iran ceasefire enabled initial preparations and limited maintenance starting early April, but no official restart or production has materialized amid extensive damage assessments. Realistic shifts could arise from accelerated repairs or surprise announcements, though four-month scaling timelines and geopolitical fragility maintain high barriers to an on-time outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$118,081 Vol.
$118,081 Vol.
$118,081 Vol.
$118,081 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Military attacks in March 2026 on QatarEnergy's Ras Laffan Industrial City and Mesaieed LNG facilities prompted a full production halt, force majeure declaration, and CEO Saad Sherida al-Kaabi's estimate of 3-5 years for repairs, anchoring trader consensus at 97.8% "No" for announcement or resumption by April 30. A U.S.-Iran ceasefire enabled initial preparations and limited maintenance starting early April, but no official restart or production has materialized amid extensive damage assessments. Realistic shifts could arise from accelerated repairs or surprise announcements, though four-month scaling timelines and geopolitical fragility maintain high barriers to an on-time outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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