Fuerza Popular (FP) commands trader consensus at 99% implied probability for the most seats in Peru's 130-seat Chamber of Deputies following the April 12, 2026 general election, driven by official ONPE tallies showing FP with a decisive 40 seats against Juntos por el Perú's (JP) 31 at over 89% of ballots counted. FP's strong showings in key districts, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's frontrunner status in the fragmented presidential race amid logistical voting disruptions, have solidified its plurality under the proportional representation system across 27 constituencies. While presidential results lag toward a June 7 runoff, congressional certification by the JNE proceeds, with FP's nine-seat margin leaving scant room for upsets absent major recounts, invalidations, or legal challenges in remaining precincts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPeru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
FP 98.8%
RP 1.1%
JP <1%
PL <1%
$155,277 Vol.
$155,277 Vol.

FP
99%

RP
1%

JP
<1%

PL
<1%

APP
<1%

SP
<1%

PP
<1%

AP
<1%

AvP
<1%
FP 98.8%
RP 1.1%
JP <1%
PL <1%
$155,277 Vol.
$155,277 Vol.

FP
99%

RP
1%

JP
<1%

PL
<1%

APP
<1%

SP
<1%

PP
<1%

AP
<1%

AvP
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Fuerza Popular (FP) commands trader consensus at 99% implied probability for the most seats in Peru's 130-seat Chamber of Deputies following the April 12, 2026 general election, driven by official ONPE tallies showing FP with a decisive 40 seats against Juntos por el Perú's (JP) 31 at over 89% of ballots counted. FP's strong showings in key districts, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's frontrunner status in the fragmented presidential race amid logistical voting disruptions, have solidified its plurality under the proportional representation system across 27 constituencies. While presidential results lag toward a June 7 runoff, congressional certification by the JNE proceeds, with FP's nine-seat margin leaving scant room for upsets absent major recounts, invalidations, or legal challenges in remaining precincts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions