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Elections·Mayoral Elections

Newark Mayoral Election

icon for Newark Mayoral Election
Elections·Mayoral Elections

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 95.3%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 5.7%

Louis Shockley 3.1%

Douglas Davis 2.6%

Polymarket

$19,161 Vol.

Ras Baraka 95.3%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 5.7%

Louis Shockley 3.1%

Douglas Davis 2.6%

Polymarket

$19,161 Vol.

Ras Baraka

$3,659 Vol.

95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$4,192 Vol.

6%

Louis Shockley

$1,470 Vol.

3%

Douglas Davis

$977 Vol.

3%

Sheila Montague

$1,446 Vol.

1%

Nasheedah Singleton

$1,074 Vol.

1%

Tanisha Garner

$1,100 Vol.

<1%

Noble Milton

$3,095 Vol.

<1%

Debra Salters

$1,090 Vol.

<1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$1,059 Vol.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Newark Mayor Ras Baraka commands trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the May 12 nonpartisan municipal election, driven by his unchallenged record after drawing seven minor opponents in February filings, with none gaining traction. Recent catalysts include his April 1 State of the City address touting gains in public safety, education, economic development, and housing, plus a fresh endorsement from the New Jersey League of Conservation Voters. A May 4 candidate forum offers the last major platform for challengers like Nasheedah Singleton or Asha Coates-Hamlet. Despite this dominance, low voter turnout, a breakout debate performance, or escalation of opponents' election integrity concerns—prompting a federal monitoring request—could disrupt the path to victory.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$19,161
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Newark Mayor Ras Baraka commands trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the May 12 nonpartisan municipal election, driven by his unchallenged record after drawing seven minor opponents in February filings, with none gaining traction. Recent catalysts include his April 1 State of the City address touting gains in public safety, education, economic development, and housing, plus a fresh endorsement from the New Jersey League of Conservation Voters. A May 4 candidate forum offers the last major platform for challengers like Nasheedah Singleton or Asha Coates-Hamlet. Despite this dominance, low voter turnout, a breakout debate performance, or escalation of opponents' election integrity concerns—prompting a federal monitoring request—could disrupt the path to victory.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$19,161
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Newark Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ras Baraka" at 95%, followed by "Asha Coates-Hamlet" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Newark Mayoral Election" has generated $19.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Newark Mayoral Election," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Newark Mayoral Election" is "Ras Baraka" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Asha Coates-Hamlet" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Newark Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.