Andrea Martella's strong 71.5% implied probability as Venice mayoral election winner reflects recent Tecnè polling from mid-April showing him ahead 48%-42% among decided voters against center-right challenger Simone Venturini, amid 62% disapproval of incumbent Luigi Brugnaro's 11-year administration. This dissatisfaction over housing, tourism management, and cost of living has boosted the center-left coalition's momentum, positioning Martella for a potential first-round lead or runoff edge on May 24-25, with a possible second round in early June. Venturini trails at 28% despite broad coalition support, while independents like Michele Boldrin register just 2.9% amid fragmented minor candidacies. A BiDiMedia poll released April 30 could further influence trader sentiment before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Andrea Martella 72%
Simone Venturini 28%
Michele Boldrin 2.9%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$45,682 Vol.
$45,682 Vol.

Andrea Martella
72%

Simone Venturini
28%

Michele Boldrin
3%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Andrea Martella 72%
Simone Venturini 28%
Michele Boldrin 2.9%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$45,682 Vol.
$45,682 Vol.

Andrea Martella
72%

Simone Venturini
28%

Michele Boldrin
3%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andrea Martella's strong 71.5% implied probability as Venice mayoral election winner reflects recent Tecnè polling from mid-April showing him ahead 48%-42% among decided voters against center-right challenger Simone Venturini, amid 62% disapproval of incumbent Luigi Brugnaro's 11-year administration. This dissatisfaction over housing, tourism management, and cost of living has boosted the center-left coalition's momentum, positioning Martella for a potential first-round lead or runoff edge on May 24-25, with a possible second round in early June. Venturini trails at 28% despite broad coalition support, while independents like Michele Boldrin register just 2.9% amid fragmented minor candidacies. A BiDiMedia poll released April 30 could further influence trader sentiment before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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