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Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

icon for Bulgaria Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova 55%

Nikolai Denkov 19%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 10%

Boyko Borissov 3.3%

Polymarket

$84,443 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 55%

Nikolai Denkov 19%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 10%

Boyko Borissov 3.3%

Polymarket

$84,443 Vol.

icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$40,156 Vol.

55%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$6,009 Vol.

19%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$16,794 Vol.

10%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$3,589 Vol.

3%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$1,774 Vol.

1%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$2,740 Vol.

1%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$2,026 Vol.

1%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$1,795 Vol.

<1%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$1,649 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$1,857 Vol.

<1%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$1,907 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$2,476 Vol.

<1%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$1,673 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent Vice President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 55% implied probability for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria securing a parliamentary majority of around 130 seats in the April 19 snap vote—ending years of coalition instability and fragmented governance. This landslide, with GERB-SDS collapsing to 13% and PP-DB at 13%, amplifies Iotova's incumbency advantage as acting president following Radev's resignation, drawing support from his broad pro-stability coalition amid voter fatigue. Nikolai Denkov of pro-EU PP-DB trails at 19%, reflecting his party's competitive but insufficient parliamentary showing, while Rosen Zhelyazkov's 9.5% odds mirror GERB's weakened position. Candidate nominations and potential endorsements loom as key upcoming catalysts in the direct popular vote.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$84,443
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent Vice President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 55% implied probability for Bulgaria's autumn 2026 presidential election, bolstered by former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria securing a parliamentary majority of around 130 seats in the April 19 snap vote—ending years of coalition instability and fragmented governance. This landslide, with GERB-SDS collapsing to 13% and PP-DB at 13%, amplifies Iotova's incumbency advantage as acting president following Radev's resignation, drawing support from his broad pro-stability coalition amid voter fatigue. Nikolai Denkov of pro-EU PP-DB trails at 19%, reflecting his party's competitive but insufficient parliamentary showing, while Rosen Zhelyazkov's 9.5% odds mirror GERB's weakened position. Candidate nominations and potential endorsements loom as key upcoming catalysts in the direct popular vote.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$84,443
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgaria Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iliana Iotova" at 55%, followed by "Nikolai Denkov" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bulgaria Presidential Election" has generated $84.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bulgaria Presidential Election," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" is "Iliana Iotova" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nikolai Denkov" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.