Spencer Pratt's longshot bid in the June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary has faded after early returns placed him ahead of most challengers. Subsequent ballot drops have lifted City Councilmember Nithya Raman into second place behind incumbent Karen Bass, leaving Pratt in third with his margin narrowing. Ongoing vote tabulation shows no realistic path for Pratt to reach the November runoff under California's top-two system. Traders price rapid concession as likely once official results confirm elimination, consistent with historical patterns where non-viable candidates exit promptly to avoid unnecessary expense and legal challenges. No major scheduled events remain before certification that could reopen the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
11 jun 2026
10 de junio
10%
15 de junio
29%
2 de julio
86%
$1,106 Vol.
10 de junio
$489 Vol.
10%
15 de junio
$258 Vol.
29%
2 de julio
$359 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt's longshot bid in the June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary has faded after early returns placed him ahead of most challengers. Subsequent ballot drops have lifted City Councilmember Nithya Raman into second place behind incumbent Karen Bass, leaving Pratt in third with his margin narrowing. Ongoing vote tabulation shows no realistic path for Pratt to reach the November runoff under California's top-two system. Traders price rapid concession as likely once official results confirm elimination, consistent with historical patterns where non-viable candidates exit promptly to avoid unnecessary expense and legal challenges. No major scheduled events remain before certification that could reopen the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Volumen
$1,106Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt's longshot bid in the June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary has faded after early returns placed him ahead of most challengers. Subsequent ballot drops have lifted City Councilmember Nithya Raman into second place behind incumbent Karen Bass, leaving Pratt in third with his margin narrowing. Ongoing vote tabulation shows no realistic path for Pratt to reach the November runoff under California's top-two system. Traders price rapid concession as likely once official results confirm elimination, consistent with historical patterns where non-viable candidates exit promptly to avoid unnecessary expense and legal challenges. No major scheduled events remain before certification that could reopen the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Volumen
$1,106Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spencer Pratt's longshot bid in the June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary has faded after early returns placed him ahead of most challengers. Subsequent ballot drops have lifted City Councilmember Nithya Raman into second place behind incumbent Karen Bass, leaving Pratt in third with his margin narrowing. Ongoing vote tabulation shows no realistic path for Pratt to reach the November runoff under California's top-two system. Traders price rapid concession as likely once official results confirm elimination, consistent with historical patterns where non-viable candidates exit promptly to avoid unnecessary expense and legal challenges. No major scheduled events remain before certification that could reopen the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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