Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 19°C for Seoul on June 15, 2026, under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and limited overnight cooling. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 18–21°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at 96.5% for 19°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with minimal model spread expected 24 hours before the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement anomaly outside standard station protocols, though such shifts remain improbable given the current synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
19°C 97.3%
18°C 1.4%
17°C 1.1%
16°C <1%
NEW
$10,701 Vol.
NEW
$10,701 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
97%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 97.3%
18°C 1.4%
17°C 1.1%
16°C <1%
NEW
$10,701 Vol.
NEW
$10,701 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
13°C or below
$834 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$790 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,068 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$477 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,449 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,194 Vol.
97%
20°C
$1,147 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$711 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$781 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$1,909 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 19°C for Seoul on June 15, 2026, under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and limited overnight cooling. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 18–21°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at 96.5% for 19°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with minimal model spread expected 24 hours before the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement anomaly outside standard station protocols, though such shifts remain improbable given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$10,701End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 19°C for Seoul on June 15, 2026, under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and limited overnight cooling. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 18–21°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at 96.5% for 19°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with minimal model spread expected 24 hours before the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement anomaly outside standard station protocols, though such shifts remain improbable given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,701End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 19°C for Seoul on June 15, 2026, under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and limited overnight cooling. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 18–21°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at 96.5% for 19°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with minimal model spread expected 24 hours before the observation window. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement anomaly outside standard station protocols, though such shifts remain improbable given the current synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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