As of mid-June 2026, six magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes have occurred worldwide, including the recent M7.8 event offshore the Philippines on June 8, keeping the annual pace aligned with the market’s leading 11–13 and 14–16 bins. USGS long-term records show an average of roughly 16 such events per year, though totals fluctuate substantially due to clustering along subduction zones and variable stress release on major faults. Current trader sentiment around these central ranges incorporates the observed rate through the first half of the year, the inherent uncertainty in forecasting aftershock sequences or new mainshocks, and the absence of unusual global seismic indicators that would favor outliers below 10 or above 19.