Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 25°C (43.5%) or 24°C (29.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), which project cloudy conditions with daytime highs of 25–26°C and lows around 16°C. This positioning stems from a recent warming trend over the past week, with April 30 reaching 23°C after earlier highs near 20°C, but persistent cloud cover expected to suppress peak solar heating amid typical early-May climatology where average highs rise from 24°C toward 27°C. Historical data shows May 1 variability of 2–3°C due to frontal passages or humidity, with new CMA updates anticipated overnight potentially refining model consensus on boundary layer stability and insolation. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at Hankou observatory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
25°C 44%
24°C 31%
26°C 22%
23°C 7%
NEW
$14,516 Vol.
NEW
$14,516 Vol.
May 1, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
31%
25°C
44%
26°C
22%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 44%
24°C 31%
26°C 22%
23°C 7%
NEW
$14,516 Vol.
NEW
$14,516 Vol.
May 1, 2026
20°C or below
$1,675 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$884 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,829 Vol.
1%
23°C
$430 Vol.
7%
24°C
$1,469 Vol.
31%
25°C
$1,531 Vol.
44%
26°C
$884 Vol.
22%
27°C
$998 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,314 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,418 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$1,524 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 25°C (43.5%) or 24°C (29.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), which project cloudy conditions with daytime highs of 25–26°C and lows around 16°C. This positioning stems from a recent warming trend over the past week, with April 30 reaching 23°C after earlier highs near 20°C, but persistent cloud cover expected to suppress peak solar heating amid typical early-May climatology where average highs rise from 24°C toward 27°C. Historical data shows May 1 variability of 2–3°C due to frontal passages or humidity, with new CMA updates anticipated overnight potentially refining model consensus on boundary layer stability and insolation. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at Hankou observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$14,516End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 25°C (43.5%) or 24°C (29.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), which project cloudy conditions with daytime highs of 25–26°C and lows around 16°C. This positioning stems from a recent warming trend over the past week, with April 30 reaching 23°C after earlier highs near 20°C, but persistent cloud cover expected to suppress peak solar heating amid typical early-May climatology where average highs rise from 24°C toward 27°C. Historical data shows May 1 variability of 2–3°C due to frontal passages or humidity, with new CMA updates anticipated overnight potentially refining model consensus on boundary layer stability and insolation. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at Hankou observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,516End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 25°C (43.5%) or 24°C (29.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), which project cloudy conditions with daytime highs of 25–26°C and lows around 16°C. This positioning stems from a recent warming trend over the past week, with April 30 reaching 23°C after earlier highs near 20°C, but persistent cloud cover expected to suppress peak solar heating amid typical early-May climatology where average highs rise from 24°C toward 27°C. Historical data shows May 1 variability of 2–3°C due to frontal passages or humidity, with new CMA updates anticipated overnight potentially refining model consensus on boundary layer stability and insolation. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at Hankou observatory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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