Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily maximum near 32°C for Wuhan on June 15, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 31–33°C. Mid-June marks the seasonal ramp-up in the humid subtropical Yangtze region, where average highs rise above 30°C amid strengthening southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, though cloud cover and possible showers can moderate peaks. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima of 28–34°C, with 32°C falling well within the central range. Traders appear to weigh the latest forecast consensus against minor model spread and short-term variability in humidity and precipitation, keeping outcomes outside 30–33°C at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
32°C 43%
31°C 28%
33°C 26%
30°C 3.3%
NEW
$11,923 Vol.
NEW
$11,923 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
28%
32°C
43%
33°C
26%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
31°C 28%
33°C 26%
30°C 3.3%
NEW
$11,923 Vol.
NEW
$11,923 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
$400 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$883 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,632 Vol.
1%
30°C
$590 Vol.
3%
31°C
$950 Vol.
28%
32°C
$1,007 Vol.
43%
33°C
$1,105 Vol.
26%
34°C
$1,536 Vol.
3%
35°C
$2,593 Vol.
1%
36°C
$829 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,108 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily maximum near 32°C for Wuhan on June 15, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 31–33°C. Mid-June marks the seasonal ramp-up in the humid subtropical Yangtze region, where average highs rise above 30°C amid strengthening southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, though cloud cover and possible showers can moderate peaks. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima of 28–34°C, with 32°C falling well within the central range. Traders appear to weigh the latest forecast consensus against minor model spread and short-term variability in humidity and precipitation, keeping outcomes outside 30–33°C at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$11,923End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily maximum near 32°C for Wuhan on June 15, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 31–33°C. Mid-June marks the seasonal ramp-up in the humid subtropical Yangtze region, where average highs rise above 30°C amid strengthening southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, though cloud cover and possible showers can moderate peaks. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima of 28–34°C, with 32°C falling well within the central range. Traders appear to weigh the latest forecast consensus against minor model spread and short-term variability in humidity and precipitation, keeping outcomes outside 30–33°C at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,923End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily maximum near 32°C for Wuhan on June 15, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 31–33°C. Mid-June marks the seasonal ramp-up in the humid subtropical Yangtze region, where average highs rise above 30°C amid strengthening southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, though cloud cover and possible showers can moderate peaks. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima of 28–34°C, with 32°C falling well within the central range. Traders appear to weigh the latest forecast consensus against minor model spread and short-term variability in humidity and precipitation, keeping outcomes outside 30–33°C at low implied odds. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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