Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on April 30, driven by the latest observational data and forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA). Midday readings at Tianhe International Airport station hovered around 22°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, aligning with model projections from GRAPES and global ensembles like ECMWF that cap daytime peaks at 23°C amid a stable high-pressure system and lingering cool air mass from recent showers. Historical late-April averages support this positioning, with typical highs of 22–26°C. Realistic challenges include unanticipated solar heating in the afternoon or minor station measurement revisions, though low cloud cover and seasonal norms make deviations unlikely as the day progresses toward evening observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 30?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 30?
23°C 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$95,531 Vol.
$95,531 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$95,531 Vol.
$95,531 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
23°C
$10,517 Vol.
100%
24°C
$10,541 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$12,388 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$11,047 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,467 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$9,622 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on April 30, driven by the latest observational data and forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA). Midday readings at Tianhe International Airport station hovered around 22°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, aligning with model projections from GRAPES and global ensembles like ECMWF that cap daytime peaks at 23°C amid a stable high-pressure system and lingering cool air mass from recent showers. Historical late-April averages support this positioning, with typical highs of 22–26°C. Realistic challenges include unanticipated solar heating in the afternoon or minor station measurement revisions, though low cloud cover and seasonal norms make deviations unlikely as the day progresses toward evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
Volume
$95,531End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:59 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on April 30, driven by the latest observational data and forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA). Midday readings at Tianhe International Airport station hovered around 22°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, aligning with model projections from GRAPES and global ensembles like ECMWF that cap daytime peaks at 23°C amid a stable high-pressure system and lingering cool air mass from recent showers. Historical late-April averages support this positioning, with typical highs of 22–26°C. Realistic challenges include unanticipated solar heating in the afternoon or minor station measurement revisions, though low cloud cover and seasonal norms make deviations unlikely as the day progresses toward evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$95,531End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:59 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 23°C on April 30, driven by the latest observational data and forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA). Midday readings at Tianhe International Airport station hovered around 22°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, aligning with model projections from GRAPES and global ensembles like ECMWF that cap daytime peaks at 23°C amid a stable high-pressure system and lingering cool air mass from recent showers. Historical late-April averages support this positioning, with typical highs of 22–26°C. Realistic challenges include unanticipated solar heating in the afternoon or minor station measurement revisions, though low cloud cover and seasonal norms make deviations unlikely as the day progresses toward evening observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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