National Weather Service forecast models project a high near 69°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA)—the market's official observing station—on May 1, driving the 99.1% trader consensus for 64°F or higher amid a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. This setup delivers mostly sunny skies, light northerly winds around 5-10 mph, and efficient solar heating, elevating temperatures 6°F above the May 1 climatological average of 63°F based on 30-year NOAA normals. Model ensembles from the past 24 hours show tight agreement with minimal spread. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus surge or abrupt onshore flow shift introducing clouds and cooling, though current guidance indicates low likelihood; watch hourly NOAA updates through evening for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on May 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 1?
64°F or higher 99.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
NEW
$35,199 Vol.
NEW
$35,199 Vol.
May 1, 2026
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
99%
64°F or higher 99.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
NEW
$35,199 Vol.
NEW
$35,199 Vol.
May 1, 2026
45°F or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$628 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$422 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$653 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$642 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$636 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,265 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$4,966 Vol.
<1%
64°F or higher
$25,496 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models project a high near 69°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA)—the market's official observing station—on May 1, driving the 99.1% trader consensus for 64°F or higher amid a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. This setup delivers mostly sunny skies, light northerly winds around 5-10 mph, and efficient solar heating, elevating temperatures 6°F above the May 1 climatological average of 63°F based on 30-year NOAA normals. Model ensembles from the past 24 hours show tight agreement with minimal spread. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus surge or abrupt onshore flow shift introducing clouds and cooling, though current guidance indicates low likelihood; watch hourly NOAA updates through evening for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$35,199End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models project a high near 69°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA)—the market's official observing station—on May 1, driving the 99.1% trader consensus for 64°F or higher amid a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. This setup delivers mostly sunny skies, light northerly winds around 5-10 mph, and efficient solar heating, elevating temperatures 6°F above the May 1 climatological average of 63°F based on 30-year NOAA normals. Model ensembles from the past 24 hours show tight agreement with minimal spread. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus surge or abrupt onshore flow shift introducing clouds and cooling, though current guidance indicates low likelihood; watch hourly NOAA updates through evening for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,199End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast models project a high near 69°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA)—the market's official observing station—on May 1, driving the 99.1% trader consensus for 64°F or higher amid a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. This setup delivers mostly sunny skies, light northerly winds around 5-10 mph, and efficient solar heating, elevating temperatures 6°F above the May 1 climatological average of 63°F based on 30-year NOAA normals. Model ensembles from the past 24 hours show tight agreement with minimal spread. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine stratus surge or abrupt onshore flow shift introducing clouds and cooling, though current guidance indicates low likelihood; watch hourly NOAA updates through evening for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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