Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place San Francisco’s June 15 maximum in the low-to-mid 70s, with 70-73 °F bins commanding roughly two-thirds of trader volume. Persistent upper-level ridging over the eastern Pacific has suppressed the marine layer and strengthened offshore flow, elevating temperatures several degrees above the June climatological mean of 66-68 °F at KSFO. Small differences in forecast wind direction, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise erosion of coastal stratus separate the closely matched 70-71 °F and 72-73 °F outcomes; any strengthening of onshore flow or earlier fog burn-off could shift the result by 2-3 °F. The next high-resolution model cycles and the afternoon NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 15 de junio?
70-71°F 33%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 8%
65°F o menos
3%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o más
<1%
70-71°F 33%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 8%
65°F o menos
3%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place San Francisco’s June 15 maximum in the low-to-mid 70s, with 70-73 °F bins commanding roughly two-thirds of trader volume. Persistent upper-level ridging over the eastern Pacific has suppressed the marine layer and strengthened offshore flow, elevating temperatures several degrees above the June climatological mean of 66-68 °F at KSFO. Small differences in forecast wind direction, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise erosion of coastal stratus separate the closely matched 70-71 °F and 72-73 °F outcomes; any strengthening of onshore flow or earlier fog burn-off could shift the result by 2-3 °F. The next high-resolution model cycles and the afternoon NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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