**Trader consensus at 99.8% for a 22°C daily maximum on June 14 reflects consistent short-term meteorological model guidance and observational data indicating stable winter conditions across São Paulo.** In the Southern Hemisphere, June typically brings the coolest monthly averages, with daytime highs near 21–23°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and limited moisture transport. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this peak value, supported by surface observations and steering patterns that prevented significant warming or cooling anomalies. Realistic challenges to the 22°C outcome remain narrow and include minor station-specific variations in official measurements, brief unforecasted increases in cloud cover that could suppress the high to 21°C, or subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing that might allow a brief 23°C reading. The market-implied probability captures this tight uncertainty range ahead of final verification by primary urban stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 14?
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$39,979 Vol.
$39,979 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$39,979 Vol.
$39,979 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$696 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$16,571 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,612 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,923 Vol.
100%
23°C
$4,738 Vol.
1%
24°C
$3,259 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,915 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,879 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$863 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.8% for a 22°C daily maximum on June 14 reflects consistent short-term meteorological model guidance and observational data indicating stable winter conditions across São Paulo.** In the Southern Hemisphere, June typically brings the coolest monthly averages, with daytime highs near 21–23°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and limited moisture transport. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this peak value, supported by surface observations and steering patterns that prevented significant warming or cooling anomalies. Realistic challenges to the 22°C outcome remain narrow and include minor station-specific variations in official measurements, brief unforecasted increases in cloud cover that could suppress the high to 21°C, or subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing that might allow a brief 23°C reading. The market-implied probability captures this tight uncertainty range ahead of final verification by primary urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$39,979End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.8% for a 22°C daily maximum on June 14 reflects consistent short-term meteorological model guidance and observational data indicating stable winter conditions across São Paulo.** In the Southern Hemisphere, June typically brings the coolest monthly averages, with daytime highs near 21–23°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and limited moisture transport. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this peak value, supported by surface observations and steering patterns that prevented significant warming or cooling anomalies. Realistic challenges to the 22°C outcome remain narrow and include minor station-specific variations in official measurements, brief unforecasted increases in cloud cover that could suppress the high to 21°C, or subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing that might allow a brief 23°C reading. The market-implied probability captures this tight uncertainty range ahead of final verification by primary urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,979End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 99.8% for a 22°C daily maximum on June 14 reflects consistent short-term meteorological model guidance and observational data indicating stable winter conditions across São Paulo.** In the Southern Hemisphere, June typically brings the coolest monthly averages, with daytime highs near 21–23°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and limited moisture transport. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this peak value, supported by surface observations and steering patterns that prevented significant warming or cooling anomalies. Realistic challenges to the 22°C outcome remain narrow and include minor station-specific variations in official measurements, brief unforecasted increases in cloud cover that could suppress the high to 21°C, or subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing that might allow a brief 23°C reading. The market-implied probability captures this tight uncertainty range ahead of final verification by primary urban stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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