Recent National Weather Service model guidance places the June 15 daily maximum in Central Park near the climatological average of roughly 79–81 °F, driving the near-even market split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F brackets. Modest southwesterly flow under a weak ridge supports limited cloud cover and gradual daytime heating, yet an afternoon sea-breeze front from the Atlantic could introduce cooler marine air and cap readings in the upper 70s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the sub-24-hour horizon, with small variations in boundary-layer moisture and marine-layer timing creating the key uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Updated short-range runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on June 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 15?
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 34%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 13.4%
NEW
$10,261 Vol.
NEW
$10,261 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 34%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 13.4%
NEW
$10,261 Vol.
NEW
$10,261 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
$1,311 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$764 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$389 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$1,027 Vol.
14%
78-79°F
$1,665 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$747 Vol.
34%
82-83°F
$861 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$919 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$271 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$1,675 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model guidance places the June 15 daily maximum in Central Park near the climatological average of roughly 79–81 °F, driving the near-even market split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F brackets. Modest southwesterly flow under a weak ridge supports limited cloud cover and gradual daytime heating, yet an afternoon sea-breeze front from the Atlantic could introduce cooler marine air and cap readings in the upper 70s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the sub-24-hour horizon, with small variations in boundary-layer moisture and marine-layer timing creating the key uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Updated short-range runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,261End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model guidance places the June 15 daily maximum in Central Park near the climatological average of roughly 79–81 °F, driving the near-even market split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F brackets. Modest southwesterly flow under a weak ridge supports limited cloud cover and gradual daytime heating, yet an afternoon sea-breeze front from the Atlantic could introduce cooler marine air and cap readings in the upper 70s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the sub-24-hour horizon, with small variations in boundary-layer moisture and marine-layer timing creating the key uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Updated short-range runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,261End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model guidance places the June 15 daily maximum in Central Park near the climatological average of roughly 79–81 °F, driving the near-even market split between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F brackets. Modest southwesterly flow under a weak ridge supports limited cloud cover and gradual daytime heating, yet an afternoon sea-breeze front from the Atlantic could introduce cooler marine air and cap readings in the upper 70s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the sub-24-hour horizon, with small variations in boundary-layer moisture and marine-layer timing creating the key uncertainty between the two leading outcomes. Updated short-range runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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