Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum near 21°C at Munich’s official monitoring station, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological June averages of 20–23°C and explains the market’s overwhelming 94% implied probability on 21°C. Minor variations in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could push readings to 22°C, while persistent cloud or slightly stronger advection might hold the peak at or below 20°C; however, model consensus and current observations limit these deviations. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data remain the key variables for any late adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on June 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 14?
21°C 97.5%
22°C 2.5%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$75,881 Vol.
$75,881 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
98%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 97.5%
22°C 2.5%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$75,881 Vol.
$75,881 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
16°C or below
$351 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,697 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$8,361 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$9,533 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$17,329 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$8,075 Vol.
98%
22°C
$9,177 Vol.
3%
23°C
$10,773 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,983 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,510 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$2,674 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum near 21°C at Munich’s official monitoring station, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological June averages of 20–23°C and explains the market’s overwhelming 94% implied probability on 21°C. Minor variations in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could push readings to 22°C, while persistent cloud or slightly stronger advection might hold the peak at or below 20°C; however, model consensus and current observations limit these deviations. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data remain the key variables for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$75,881End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum near 21°C at Munich’s official monitoring station, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological June averages of 20–23°C and explains the market’s overwhelming 94% implied probability on 21°C. Minor variations in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could push readings to 22°C, while persistent cloud or slightly stronger advection might hold the peak at or below 20°C; however, model consensus and current observations limit these deviations. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data remain the key variables for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75,881End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum near 21°C at Munich’s official monitoring station, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological June averages of 20–23°C and explains the market’s overwhelming 94% implied probability on 21°C. Minor variations in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could push readings to 22°C, while persistent cloud or slightly stronger advection might hold the peak at or below 20°C; however, model consensus and current observations limit these deviations. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data remain the key variables for any late adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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