Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate models show Moscow highs on June 15 clustering around 20–22 °C under thundery showers and variable cloud cover, directly supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. Diurnal temperature maxima will hinge on the precise timing of convective activity and solar insolation: earlier or more persistent cloud decks reduce surface heating and cap peaks near 20 °C, while brief breaks allow greater radiative warming toward 22–23 °C. June 2026 has already run several degrees above the 17.3 °C climatological normal, yet incoming Atlantic air and expected rainfall moderate further extremes, keeping probabilities for 24 °C or higher below 2 %. Updated model runs and radar trends over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
21°C 29%
22°C 24%
20°C 21%
23°C 12%
NEW
$10,393 Vol.
NEW
$10,393 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
21%
21°C
29%
22°C
24%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 29%
22°C 24%
20°C 21%
23°C 12%
NEW
$10,393 Vol.
NEW
$10,393 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
$309 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,200 Vol.
1%
19°C
$870 Vol.
8%
20°C
$539 Vol.
21%
21°C
$622 Vol.
29%
22°C
$548 Vol.
24%
23°C
$451 Vol.
12%
24°C
$762 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,686 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$3,105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate models show Moscow highs on June 15 clustering around 20–22 °C under thundery showers and variable cloud cover, directly supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. Diurnal temperature maxima will hinge on the precise timing of convective activity and solar insolation: earlier or more persistent cloud decks reduce surface heating and cap peaks near 20 °C, while brief breaks allow greater radiative warming toward 22–23 °C. June 2026 has already run several degrees above the 17.3 °C climatological normal, yet incoming Atlantic air and expected rainfall moderate further extremes, keeping probabilities for 24 °C or higher below 2 %. Updated model runs and radar trends over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$10,393End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate models show Moscow highs on June 15 clustering around 20–22 °C under thundery showers and variable cloud cover, directly supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. Diurnal temperature maxima will hinge on the precise timing of convective activity and solar insolation: earlier or more persistent cloud decks reduce surface heating and cap peaks near 20 °C, while brief breaks allow greater radiative warming toward 22–23 °C. June 2026 has already run several degrees above the 17.3 °C climatological normal, yet incoming Atlantic air and expected rainfall moderate further extremes, keeping probabilities for 24 °C or higher below 2 %. Updated model runs and radar trends over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,393End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate models show Moscow highs on June 15 clustering around 20–22 °C under thundery showers and variable cloud cover, directly supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. Diurnal temperature maxima will hinge on the precise timing of convective activity and solar insolation: earlier or more persistent cloud decks reduce surface heating and cap peaks near 20 °C, while brief breaks allow greater radiative warming toward 22–23 °C. June 2026 has already run several degrees above the 17.3 °C climatological normal, yet incoming Atlantic air and expected rainfall moderate further extremes, keeping probabilities for 24 °C or higher below 2 %. Updated model runs and radar trends over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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