**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on June 15, 2026, center on a daily high near 24°C amid the onset of the rainy season, with multiple sources projecting 23–25°C under increasing cloud cover and showers.** At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, daytime maxima are moderated by altitude and typically peak around the seasonal average of 24–25°C in mid-June before afternoon convection develops. Latest model guidance highlights potential for heavy rainfall (up to 47 mm in some runs), which enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar insolation, capping temperatures. This uncertainty—driven by the timing and intensity of thunderstorms—explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25°C (27.5%) and 26°C (41.5%), reflecting the narrow but realistic window above recent daily maxima while acknowledging the likelihood of rain-suppressed readings near 24°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 15?
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 17%
24°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
28%
26°C
42%
27°C
17%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 17%
24°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
20°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$515 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,063 Vol.
3%
24°C
$553 Vol.
11%
25°C
$556 Vol.
28%
26°C
$356 Vol.
42%
27°C
$483 Vol.
17%
28°C
$286 Vol.
1%
29°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$532 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on June 15, 2026, center on a daily high near 24°C amid the onset of the rainy season, with multiple sources projecting 23–25°C under increasing cloud cover and showers.**
At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, daytime maxima are moderated by altitude and typically peak around the seasonal average of 24–25°C in mid-June before afternoon convection develops. Latest model guidance highlights potential for heavy rainfall (up to 47 mm in some runs), which enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar insolation, capping temperatures. This uncertainty—driven by the timing and intensity of thunderstorms—explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25°C (27.5%) and 26°C (41.5%), reflecting the narrow but realistic window above recent daily maxima while acknowledging the likelihood of rain-suppressed readings near 24°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$5,168End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on June 15, 2026, center on a daily high near 24°C amid the onset of the rainy season, with multiple sources projecting 23–25°C under increasing cloud cover and showers.**
At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, daytime maxima are moderated by altitude and typically peak around the seasonal average of 24–25°C in mid-June before afternoon convection develops. Latest model guidance highlights potential for heavy rainfall (up to 47 mm in some runs), which enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar insolation, capping temperatures. This uncertainty—driven by the timing and intensity of thunderstorms—explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25°C (27.5%) and 26°C (41.5%), reflecting the narrow but realistic window above recent daily maxima while acknowledging the likelihood of rain-suppressed readings near 24°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,168End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Mexico City on June 15, 2026, center on a daily high near 24°C amid the onset of the rainy season, with multiple sources projecting 23–25°C under increasing cloud cover and showers.** At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, daytime maxima are moderated by altitude and typically peak around the seasonal average of 24–25°C in mid-June before afternoon convection develops. Latest model guidance highlights potential for heavy rainfall (up to 47 mm in some runs), which enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar insolation, capping temperatures. This uncertainty—driven by the timing and intensity of thunderstorms—explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25°C (27.5%) and 26°C (41.5%), reflecting the narrow but realistic window above recent daily maxima while acknowledging the likelihood of rain-suppressed readings near 24°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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