PAGASA forecasts and recent observations position a daily maximum of 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila on June 15, 2026, aligning with trader consensus on those outcomes. The southwest monsoon has brought partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a 30–40% rain chance, which limits daytime heating while maintaining high humidity typical of the early wet season. Official outlooks list highs of 32–34°C for Metro Manila, consistent with yesterday’s recorded peak of 32.6°C and current morning readings near 27°C that support modest afternoon warming. Model guidance shows little deviation from these values, with no strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions expected to push temperatures higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on June 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 15?
33°C 43%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
35°C 3.4%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
25%
33°C
43%
34°C
22%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
35°C 3.4%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
$677 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$616 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$786 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$684 Vol.
3%
32°C
$367 Vol.
25%
33°C
$328 Vol.
43%
34°C
$1,903 Vol.
22%
35°C
$874 Vol.
3%
36°C
$398 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$158 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts and recent observations position a daily maximum of 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila on June 15, 2026, aligning with trader consensus on those outcomes. The southwest monsoon has brought partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a 30–40% rain chance, which limits daytime heating while maintaining high humidity typical of the early wet season. Official outlooks list highs of 32–34°C for Metro Manila, consistent with yesterday’s recorded peak of 32.6°C and current morning readings near 27°C that support modest afternoon warming. Model guidance shows little deviation from these values, with no strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions expected to push temperatures higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$6,506End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts and recent observations position a daily maximum of 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila on June 15, 2026, aligning with trader consensus on those outcomes. The southwest monsoon has brought partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a 30–40% rain chance, which limits daytime heating while maintaining high humidity typical of the early wet season. Official outlooks list highs of 32–34°C for Metro Manila, consistent with yesterday’s recorded peak of 32.6°C and current morning readings near 27°C that support modest afternoon warming. Model guidance shows little deviation from these values, with no strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions expected to push temperatures higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,506End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts and recent observations position a daily maximum of 32–34°C as the most likely range for Manila on June 15, 2026, aligning with trader consensus on those outcomes. The southwest monsoon has brought partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a 30–40% rain chance, which limits daytime heating while maintaining high humidity typical of the early wet season. Official outlooks list highs of 32–34°C for Metro Manila, consistent with yesterday’s recorded peak of 32.6°C and current morning readings near 27°C that support modest afternoon warming. Model guidance shows little deviation from these values, with no strong subsidence or clear-sky conditions expected to push temperatures higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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