Official forecasts from PAGASA and supporting models position 33–34°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 23.5% and 39.5% implied probability. The southwest monsoon has begun influencing the region, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that typically cap daily highs near seasonal averages of 31–33°C while limiting extreme heating. Recent observations show nearby stations reaching 35–37°C under clearer conditions earlier in the week, sustaining modest probability for 35°C. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the official Manila station, with any unexpected clearing or delayed rainfall potentially shifting the outcome within the narrow forecast window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on June 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
34°C 40%
35°C 24%
33°C 23%
36°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
23%
34°C
40%
35°C
24%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 40%
35°C 24%
33°C 23%
36°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
28°C or below
$243 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$265 Vol.
1%
30°C
$47 Vol.
1%
31°C
$132 Vol.
1%
32°C
$938 Vol.
2%
33°C
$75 Vol.
23%
34°C
$95 Vol.
40%
35°C
$46 Vol.
24%
36°C
$134 Vol.
6%
37°C
$73 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA and supporting models position 33–34°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 23.5% and 39.5% implied probability. The southwest monsoon has begun influencing the region, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that typically cap daily highs near seasonal averages of 31–33°C while limiting extreme heating. Recent observations show nearby stations reaching 35–37°C under clearer conditions earlier in the week, sustaining modest probability for 35°C. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the official Manila station, with any unexpected clearing or delayed rainfall potentially shifting the outcome within the narrow forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$2,025End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA and supporting models position 33–34°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 23.5% and 39.5% implied probability. The southwest monsoon has begun influencing the region, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that typically cap daily highs near seasonal averages of 31–33°C while limiting extreme heating. Recent observations show nearby stations reaching 35–37°C under clearer conditions earlier in the week, sustaining modest probability for 35°C. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the official Manila station, with any unexpected clearing or delayed rainfall potentially shifting the outcome within the narrow forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,025End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA and supporting models position 33–34°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 23.5% and 39.5% implied probability. The southwest monsoon has begun influencing the region, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that typically cap daily highs near seasonal averages of 31–33°C while limiting extreme heating. Recent observations show nearby stations reaching 35–37°C under clearer conditions earlier in the week, sustaining modest probability for 35°C. Resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at the official Manila station, with any unexpected clearing or delayed rainfall potentially shifting the outcome within the narrow forecast window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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