Current forecasts for Tokyo around June 16, 2026, point to typical early tsuyu (rainy season) conditions, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C. Official seasonal outlooks and recent model runs show average highs near 25–26°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June when solar insolation is offset by moisture and reduced sunshine duration. Differentiation between leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables such as exact timing of any clearing, wind patterns, or localized rainfall, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C; stronger cloud decks favor the 26°C resolution while brief breaks could push toward 27°C. Traders weigh these against historical analogs showing limited extremes this early in the season.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 38%
27°C 32%
25°C 15%
28°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
15%
26°C
38%
27°C
32%
28°C
12%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
26°C 38%
27°C 32%
25°C 15%
28°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C o menos
$743 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,887 Vol.
1%
23°C
$805 Vol.
1%
24°C
$295 Vol.
6%
25°C
$371 Vol.
15%
26°C
$258 Vol.
38%
27°C
$167 Vol.
32%
28°C
$431 Vol.
12%
29°C
$113 Vol.
2%
30°C
$108 Vol.
1%
31°C o más
$671 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tokyo around June 16, 2026, point to typical early tsuyu (rainy season) conditions, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C. Official seasonal outlooks and recent model runs show average highs near 25–26°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June when solar insolation is offset by moisture and reduced sunshine duration. Differentiation between leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables such as exact timing of any clearing, wind patterns, or localized rainfall, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C; stronger cloud decks favor the 26°C resolution while brief breaks could push toward 27°C. Traders weigh these against historical analogs showing limited extremes this early in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$5,849Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tokyo around June 16, 2026, point to typical early tsuyu (rainy season) conditions, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C. Official seasonal outlooks and recent model runs show average highs near 25–26°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June when solar insolation is offset by moisture and reduced sunshine duration. Differentiation between leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables such as exact timing of any clearing, wind patterns, or localized rainfall, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C; stronger cloud decks favor the 26°C resolution while brief breaks could push toward 27°C. Traders weigh these against historical analogs showing limited extremes this early in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,849Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Tokyo around June 16, 2026, point to typical early tsuyu (rainy season) conditions, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C. Official seasonal outlooks and recent model runs show average highs near 25–26°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June when solar insolation is offset by moisture and reduced sunshine duration. Differentiation between leading outcomes hinges on short-term variables such as exact timing of any clearing, wind patterns, or localized rainfall, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C; stronger cloud decks favor the 26°C resolution while brief breaks could push toward 27°C. Traders weigh these against historical analogs showing limited extremes this early in the season.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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