India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts Lucknow's highest temperature on May 1 at 35°C, with partly cloudy skies becoming mostly cloudy and potential thundershowers, reflecting recent convective activity that cooled yesterday's maximum to 39.3°C from prior heatwave peaks above 40°C. Trader consensus closely splits implied probabilities between 34°C or below (41.5%) and exactly 35°C (39.5%), driven by uncertainty in cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing, which affects solar insolation and peak heating. A 36°C outcome at 19.5% hinges on reduced thunderstorm development, while hotter scenarios remain improbable absent a sharp ridge. Historical May averages exceed 40°C, but current moisture influx favors moderation; monitor IMD's daily updates for refined model runs resolving near-term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
34°C or below 43%
35°C 39%
36°C 20%
37°C 2.6%
NEW
$42,480 Vol.
NEW
$42,480 Vol.
May 1, 2026
34°C or below
43%
35°C
39%
36°C
20%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
34°C or below 43%
35°C 39%
36°C 20%
37°C 2.6%
NEW
$42,480 Vol.
NEW
$42,480 Vol.
May 1, 2026
34°C or below
$4,036 Vol.
43%
35°C
$3,080 Vol.
39%
36°C
$5,733 Vol.
20%
37°C
$4,217 Vol.
3%
38°C
$7,969 Vol.
1%
39°C
$4,264 Vol.
1%
40°C
$5,725 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$4,056 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$611 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$1,565 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts Lucknow's highest temperature on May 1 at 35°C, with partly cloudy skies becoming mostly cloudy and potential thundershowers, reflecting recent convective activity that cooled yesterday's maximum to 39.3°C from prior heatwave peaks above 40°C. Trader consensus closely splits implied probabilities between 34°C or below (41.5%) and exactly 35°C (39.5%), driven by uncertainty in cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing, which affects solar insolation and peak heating. A 36°C outcome at 19.5% hinges on reduced thunderstorm development, while hotter scenarios remain improbable absent a sharp ridge. Historical May averages exceed 40°C, but current moisture influx favors moderation; monitor IMD's daily updates for refined model runs resolving near-term.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$42,480End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts Lucknow's highest temperature on May 1 at 35°C, with partly cloudy skies becoming mostly cloudy and potential thundershowers, reflecting recent convective activity that cooled yesterday's maximum to 39.3°C from prior heatwave peaks above 40°C. Trader consensus closely splits implied probabilities between 34°C or below (41.5%) and exactly 35°C (39.5%), driven by uncertainty in cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing, which affects solar insolation and peak heating. A 36°C outcome at 19.5% hinges on reduced thunderstorm development, while hotter scenarios remain improbable absent a sharp ridge. Historical May averages exceed 40°C, but current moisture influx favors moderation; monitor IMD's daily updates for refined model runs resolving near-term.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,480End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts Lucknow's highest temperature on May 1 at 35°C, with partly cloudy skies becoming mostly cloudy and potential thundershowers, reflecting recent convective activity that cooled yesterday's maximum to 39.3°C from prior heatwave peaks above 40°C. Trader consensus closely splits implied probabilities between 34°C or below (41.5%) and exactly 35°C (39.5%), driven by uncertainty in cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing, which affects solar insolation and peak heating. A 36°C outcome at 19.5% hinges on reduced thunderstorm development, while hotter scenarios remain improbable absent a sharp ridge. Historical May averages exceed 40°C, but current moisture influx favors moderation; monitor IMD's daily updates for refined model runs resolving near-term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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