India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data has recorded Lucknow's highest temperature on April 30, 2026, at 31.7°C—5.2°C below seasonal norms—driving the market's 100% implied probability for 35°C or below. This sharp drop from 39.3°C on April 29 stems from partly cloudy skies, 0.8 mm rainfall, and isolated thunderstorms that reduced insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, per IMD's airport station measurements. Current relative humidity at 55% post-1730 IST further confirms subdued daytime heating. With the official daily maximum finalized, revision risks are negligible absent measurement errors; traders await IMD's routine data validation tomorrow, but scientific consensus solidifies this positioning against typical late-April highs near 37°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 30?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 30?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$120,075 Vol.
$120,075 Vol.
35°C or below
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$120,075 Vol.
$120,075 Vol.
35°C or below
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational data has recorded Lucknow's highest temperature on April 30, 2026, at 31.7°C—5.2°C below seasonal norms—driving the market's 100% implied probability for 35°C or below. This sharp drop from 39.3°C on April 29 stems from partly cloudy skies, 0.8 mm rainfall, and isolated thunderstorms that reduced insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, per IMD's airport station measurements. Current relative humidity at 55% post-1730 IST further confirms subdued daytime heating. With the official daily maximum finalized, revision risks are negligible absent measurement errors; traders await IMD's routine data validation tomorrow, but scientific consensus solidifies this positioning against typical late-April highs near 37°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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