Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a maximum temperature of 36°C in Karachi on April 30, driven by the latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations and forecast models showing peak midday readings at that level amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Current atmospheric conditions—low humidity, minimal cloud cover, and moderating southwest sea breezes—align with historical late-April patterns in the region, where pre-monsoon heating typically caps highs at 34–37°C based on airport station data. AccuWeather's extended outlook corroborates this with projected highs near 97–100°F (36–38°C). Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen intensification of continental air mass or stalled sea breeze, potentially pushing to 37°C+, though model ensembles show negligible support for such a shift as evening cooling sets in; final PMD daily summary expected shortly for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on April 30?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 30?
$44,530 Vol.
$44,530 Vol.
36°C
100%
37°C or higher
<1%
$44,530 Vol.
$44,530 Vol.
36°C
100%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a maximum temperature of 36°C in Karachi on April 30, driven by the latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations and forecast models showing peak midday readings at that level amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Current atmospheric conditions—low humidity, minimal cloud cover, and moderating southwest sea breezes—align with historical late-April patterns in the region, where pre-monsoon heating typically caps highs at 34–37°C based on airport station data. AccuWeather's extended outlook corroborates this with projected highs near 97–100°F (36–38°C). Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen intensification of continental air mass or stalled sea breeze, potentially pushing to 37°C+, though model ensembles show negligible support for such a shift as evening cooling sets in; final PMD daily summary expected shortly for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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