Trader consensus favors a 34°C high in Jeddah on May 1 at 37% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering peaks at 34–36°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure inducing subsidence warming and clear skies. Recent short-range model runs over the past 24 hours refined this outlook, with light NNW winds at 10–20 mph and hazy conditions potentially capping intensities, while Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location introduces sea-breeze moderation against historical early-May averages near 36°C. Lower odds for 33°C (11.5%) reflect outlier cooler projections like AccuWeather's 33°C, but uncertainty persists in final surface observations from the National Center for Meteorology ahead of tomorrow's resolution at King Abdulaziz International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
34°C 38%
35°C 25%
36°C 16%
33°C 8%
$12,799 Vol.
$12,799 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
13%
34°C
38%
35°C
23%
36°C
16%
37°C or higher
4%
34°C 38%
35°C 25%
36°C 16%
33°C 8%
$12,799 Vol.
$12,799 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
13%
34°C
38%
35°C
23%
36°C
16%
37°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 34°C high in Jeddah on May 1 at 37% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering peaks at 34–36°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure inducing subsidence warming and clear skies. Recent short-range model runs over the past 24 hours refined this outlook, with light NNW winds at 10–20 mph and hazy conditions potentially capping intensities, while Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location introduces sea-breeze moderation against historical early-May averages near 36°C. Lower odds for 33°C (11.5%) reflect outlier cooler projections like AccuWeather's 33°C, but uncertainty persists in final surface observations from the National Center for Meteorology ahead of tomorrow's resolution at King Abdulaziz International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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