Trader consensus favors 34°C at 36.5% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest AccuWeather and Weather Channel forecasts clustering tightly at 92–93°F (33–34°C), reflecting strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Persistent northerly winds (NNW 12–14 mph) under a subtropical high-pressure ridge promote subsidence warming but moderate peaks with drier air inflows, capping highs below early-May climatological averages of 35–36°C amid sunny, hazy conditions and low humidity. April 29–30 observations hovered near 91°F (33°C), reinforcing this stable pattern with minimal cloud interference. Resolution hinges on official King Abdulaziz International Airport measurements; new evening model runs could refine the 33–35°C range before tomorrow's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
34°C 37%
33°C 17%
36°C 16%
35°C 15%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
17%
34°C
37%
35°C
15%
36°C
16%
37°C or higher
7%
34°C 37%
33°C 17%
36°C 16%
35°C 15%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
17%
34°C
37%
35°C
15%
36°C
16%
37°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 34°C at 36.5% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest AccuWeather and Weather Channel forecasts clustering tightly at 92–93°F (33–34°C), reflecting strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Persistent northerly winds (NNW 12–14 mph) under a subtropical high-pressure ridge promote subsidence warming but moderate peaks with drier air inflows, capping highs below early-May climatological averages of 35–36°C amid sunny, hazy conditions and low humidity. April 29–30 observations hovered near 91°F (33°C), reinforcing this stable pattern with minimal cloud interference. Resolution hinges on official King Abdulaziz International Airport measurements; new evening model runs could refine the 33–35°C range before tomorrow's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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