Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport confirm Jakarta's highest temperature peaked at 34°C during midday on April 30, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with forecast model consensus from global and local numerical weather prediction systems anticipating highs of 33–34°C amid the transition to a drier-than-normal 2026 dry season, which has limited convective rainfall and cloud cover despite high humidity levels around 80–90%. Reduced precipitation—forecast as light showers or overcast conditions—prevented cooling, pushing temperatures to near-climatological April maxima of 32–33°C, elevated by ongoing positive heat anomalies. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon surge above 34°C from sudden clearing and intense solar insolation before midnight resolution, with final BMKG reports expected soon confirming the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 30?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 30?
34°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$112,982 Vol.
$112,982 Vol.
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$112,982 Vol.
$112,982 Vol.
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Indonesia's Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport confirm Jakarta's highest temperature peaked at 34°C during midday on April 30, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with forecast model consensus from global and local numerical weather prediction systems anticipating highs of 33–34°C amid the transition to a drier-than-normal 2026 dry season, which has limited convective rainfall and cloud cover despite high humidity levels around 80–90%. Reduced precipitation—forecast as light showers or overcast conditions—prevented cooling, pushing temperatures to near-climatological April maxima of 32–33°C, elevated by ongoing positive heat anomalies. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon surge above 34°C from sudden clearing and intense solar insolation before midnight resolution, with final BMKG reports expected soon confirming the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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