Latest short-range forecasts from meteorological services, including model outputs projecting partly cloudy conditions with highs near 28°C in Guangzhou on May 1, drive trader consensus toward that outcome at 44% implied probability, closely trailed by 27°C (22%) and 29°C (19.5%). Persistent high humidity around 80% and residual moisture from torrential rains across southern China earlier this week—exceeding 100mm in spots—limit solar heating and intensification potential, capping peaks below 30°C despite seasonal norms averaging 28.6°C for early May. Historical data shows similar setups yield moderate highs, though brief clearing could nudge toward 29°C. China Meteorological Administration updates expected within hours may sharpen these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 1?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 1?
28°C 50%
27°C 25%
29°C 20%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
May 1, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
27%
28°C
44%
29°C
20%
30°C
11%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 50%
27°C 25%
29°C 20%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
May 1, 2026
22°C or below
$1,057 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,192 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,515 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,183 Vol.
2%
26°C
$401 Vol.
5%
27°C
$181 Vol.
27%
28°C
$271 Vol.
44%
29°C
$213 Vol.
20%
30°C
$533 Vol.
11%
31°C
$1,212 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$1,935 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from meteorological services, including model outputs projecting partly cloudy conditions with highs near 28°C in Guangzhou on May 1, drive trader consensus toward that outcome at 44% implied probability, closely trailed by 27°C (22%) and 29°C (19.5%). Persistent high humidity around 80% and residual moisture from torrential rains across southern China earlier this week—exceeding 100mm in spots—limit solar heating and intensification potential, capping peaks below 30°C despite seasonal norms averaging 28.6°C for early May. Historical data shows similar setups yield moderate highs, though brief clearing could nudge toward 29°C. China Meteorological Administration updates expected within hours may sharpen these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$9,464End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from meteorological services, including model outputs projecting partly cloudy conditions with highs near 28°C in Guangzhou on May 1, drive trader consensus toward that outcome at 44% implied probability, closely trailed by 27°C (22%) and 29°C (19.5%). Persistent high humidity around 80% and residual moisture from torrential rains across southern China earlier this week—exceeding 100mm in spots—limit solar heating and intensification potential, capping peaks below 30°C despite seasonal norms averaging 28.6°C for early May. Historical data shows similar setups yield moderate highs, though brief clearing could nudge toward 29°C. China Meteorological Administration updates expected within hours may sharpen these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,464End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from meteorological services, including model outputs projecting partly cloudy conditions with highs near 28°C in Guangzhou on May 1, drive trader consensus toward that outcome at 44% implied probability, closely trailed by 27°C (22%) and 29°C (19.5%). Persistent high humidity around 80% and residual moisture from torrential rains across southern China earlier this week—exceeding 100mm in spots—limit solar heating and intensification potential, capping peaks below 30°C despite seasonal norms averaging 28.6°C for early May. Historical data shows similar setups yield moderate highs, though brief clearing could nudge toward 29°C. China Meteorological Administration updates expected within hours may sharpen these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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