Cloud cover and scattered rainfall expected across the Pearl River Delta on June 15 are the main drivers keeping trader focus on the 29–30°C outcomes, which together command over 65% implied probability. Official forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy day with daytime maxima limited by reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling, consistent with early East Asian monsoon patterns that typically hold Guangzhou highs near the 30–31°C climatological average for mid-June. Recent model consensus shows limited afternoon clearing potential, while urban heat-island effects and weak southerly flow offer only modest upward support. Any late-day breaks in the overcast could push readings to 31°C, though sustained precipitation would favor the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
29°C 35%
30°C 32%
31°C 18%
28°C 13%
NEW
$12,798 Vol.
NEW
$12,798 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
35%
30°C
32%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
7%
29°C 35%
30°C 32%
31°C 18%
28°C 13%
NEW
$12,798 Vol.
NEW
$12,798 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
$766 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$698 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,046 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,112 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,636 Vol.
13%
29°C
$961 Vol.
35%
30°C
$705 Vol.
32%
31°C
$713 Vol.
18%
32°C or higher
$2,301 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and scattered rainfall expected across the Pearl River Delta on June 15 are the main drivers keeping trader focus on the 29–30°C outcomes, which together command over 65% implied probability. Official forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy day with daytime maxima limited by reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling, consistent with early East Asian monsoon patterns that typically hold Guangzhou highs near the 30–31°C climatological average for mid-June. Recent model consensus shows limited afternoon clearing potential, while urban heat-island effects and weak southerly flow offer only modest upward support. Any late-day breaks in the overcast could push readings to 31°C, though sustained precipitation would favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$12,798End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and scattered rainfall expected across the Pearl River Delta on June 15 are the main drivers keeping trader focus on the 29–30°C outcomes, which together command over 65% implied probability. Official forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy day with daytime maxima limited by reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling, consistent with early East Asian monsoon patterns that typically hold Guangzhou highs near the 30–31°C climatological average for mid-June. Recent model consensus shows limited afternoon clearing potential, while urban heat-island effects and weak southerly flow offer only modest upward support. Any late-day breaks in the overcast could push readings to 31°C, though sustained precipitation would favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,798End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cloud cover and scattered rainfall expected across the Pearl River Delta on June 15 are the main drivers keeping trader focus on the 29–30°C outcomes, which together command over 65% implied probability. Official forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy day with daytime maxima limited by reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling, consistent with early East Asian monsoon patterns that typically hold Guangzhou highs near the 30–31°C climatological average for mid-June. Recent model consensus shows limited afternoon clearing potential, while urban heat-island effects and weak southerly flow offer only modest upward support. Any late-day breaks in the overcast could push readings to 31°C, though sustained precipitation would favor the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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