Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate indicate thundery showers and overcast conditions over Shenzhen on June 15, which are expected to moderate peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, June typically features highs near 30°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects, but active convection tied to South China Sea moisture is currently suppressing values slightly. Model consensus points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C, with limited upside risk from brief clear spells. These atmospheric conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 29°C and 30°C outcomes while discounting warmer thresholds. Updated local observations and any late-day model runs could still shift the final recorded high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
30°C 50%
29°C 34%
31°C 10.9%
32°C or higher 6.3%
NUEVO
$33,820 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,820 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
34%
30°C
50%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
6%
30°C 50%
29°C 34%
31°C 10.9%
32°C or higher 6.3%
NUEVO
$33,820 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,820 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$735 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,636 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,194 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,049 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,331 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,790 Vol.
34%
30°C
$2,857 Vol.
50%
31°C
$3,563 Vol.
11%
32°C or higher
$3,167 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate indicate thundery showers and overcast conditions over Shenzhen on June 15, which are expected to moderate peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, June typically features highs near 30°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects, but active convection tied to South China Sea moisture is currently suppressing values slightly. Model consensus points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C, with limited upside risk from brief clear spells. These atmospheric conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 29°C and 30°C outcomes while discounting warmer thresholds. Updated local observations and any late-day model runs could still shift the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$33,820Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate indicate thundery showers and overcast conditions over Shenzhen on June 15, which are expected to moderate peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, June typically features highs near 30°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects, but active convection tied to South China Sea moisture is currently suppressing values slightly. Model consensus points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C, with limited upside risk from brief clear spells. These atmospheric conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 29°C and 30°C outcomes while discounting warmer thresholds. Updated local observations and any late-day model runs could still shift the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,820Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate indicate thundery showers and overcast conditions over Shenzhen on June 15, which are expected to moderate peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, June typically features highs near 30°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects, but active convection tied to South China Sea moisture is currently suppressing values slightly. Model consensus points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C, with limited upside risk from brief clear spells. These atmospheric conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 29°C and 30°C outcomes while discounting warmer thresholds. Updated local observations and any late-day model runs could still shift the final recorded high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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