Trader consensus has locked in 46-47°F as the highest temperature at Denver's official measuring station on April 30, backed by National Weather Service observations confirming a peak around 46°F amid persistent drizzle and overcast skies from a spring storm system. High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model runs accurately forecasted limited warming, with cool air advection and cloud cover suppressing highs well below the April normal of 59°F, following a cooldown from late-April's mid-50s to upper 40s. This positioning reflects aggregated model agreement and real-time METAR data from KDEN showing temperatures stalling near 45°F in the afternoon. Realistic challenges like unexpected clearing or downslope winds failed to materialize, solidifying the outcome as new daily climate summaries are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 30?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 30?
46-47°F 100.0%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$84,010 Vol.
$84,010 Vol.
46-47°F
100%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
<1%
46-47°F 100.0%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$84,010 Vol.
$84,010 Vol.
46-47°F
100%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has locked in 46-47°F as the highest temperature at Denver's official measuring station on April 30, backed by National Weather Service observations confirming a peak around 46°F amid persistent drizzle and overcast skies from a spring storm system. High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model runs accurately forecasted limited warming, with cool air advection and cloud cover suppressing highs well below the April normal of 59°F, following a cooldown from late-April's mid-50s to upper 40s. This positioning reflects aggregated model agreement and real-time METAR data from KDEN showing temperatures stalling near 45°F in the afternoon. Realistic challenges like unexpected clearing or downslope winds failed to materialize, solidifying the outcome as new daily climate summaries are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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