Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (24%) and 19°C (23%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models amid inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing. Recent developments driving this positioning include the end of a mild anticyclonic spell—highs reached 26°C on May 1 under clear skies—transitioning to a cooler southwestern oceanic air mass with widespread clouds and 4 mm showers forecast for May 3, capping peaks below 20°C in most runs. Historical early-May averages hover near 18°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but above-normal soil moisture from late-April storms tempers warming potential. Watch overnight model updates and May 2 observations for shifts, as afternoon insolation versus precipitation could differentiate outcomes by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 3?
19°C 21%
18°C 21%
20°C 17%
21°C 17%
NEW
NEW
May 3, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
12%
18°C
21%
19°C
28%
20°C
11%
21°C
10%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
3%
19°C 21%
18°C 21%
20°C 17%
21°C 17%
NEW
NEW
May 3, 2026
13°C or below
$1 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
1%
15°C
$20 Vol.
1%
16°C
$57 Vol.
7%
17°C
$182 Vol.
12%
18°C
$223 Vol.
21%
19°C
$184 Vol.
28%
20°C
$33 Vol.
11%
21°C
$23 Vol.
10%
22°C
$40 Vol.
8%
23°C or higher
$305 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (24%) and 19°C (23%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models amid inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing. Recent developments driving this positioning include the end of a mild anticyclonic spell—highs reached 26°C on May 1 under clear skies—transitioning to a cooler southwestern oceanic air mass with widespread clouds and 4 mm showers forecast for May 3, capping peaks below 20°C in most runs. Historical early-May averages hover near 18°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but above-normal soil moisture from late-April storms tempers warming potential. Watch overnight model updates and May 2 observations for shifts, as afternoon insolation versus precipitation could differentiate outcomes by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$1,064End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (24%) and 19°C (23%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models amid inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing. Recent developments driving this positioning include the end of a mild anticyclonic spell—highs reached 26°C on May 1 under clear skies—transitioning to a cooler southwestern oceanic air mass with widespread clouds and 4 mm showers forecast for May 3, capping peaks below 20°C in most runs. Historical early-May averages hover near 18°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but above-normal soil moisture from late-April storms tempers warming potential. Watch overnight model updates and May 2 observations for shifts, as afternoon insolation versus precipitation could differentiate outcomes by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,064End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (24%) and 19°C (23%) for Paris's highest temperature on May 3, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models amid inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing. Recent developments driving this positioning include the end of a mild anticyclonic spell—highs reached 26°C on May 1 under clear skies—transitioning to a cooler southwestern oceanic air mass with widespread clouds and 4 mm showers forecast for May 3, capping peaks below 20°C in most runs. Historical early-May averages hover near 18°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but above-normal soil moisture from late-April storms tempers warming potential. Watch overnight model updates and May 2 observations for shifts, as afternoon insolation versus precipitation could differentiate outcomes by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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