National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 74°F in Denver on May 3 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market's 99.4% implied probability for 54°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on persistent upper-level ridging that favors robust daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models shows minimal precipitation risk and ample solar insolation, well above the May 3 normal high of 67°F, with historical analogs supporting such warm early-May patterns amid drier conditions ushering in the month. Realistic challenges include an unexpected mid-level trough introducing clouds or isolated showers, though current steering patterns indicate low likelihood; watch NWS updates from Boulder office this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Denver International Airport's official observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 3?
54°F or higher 99.4%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
NEW
$30,208 Vol.
NEW
$30,208 Vol.
May 3, 2026
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54°F or higher
99%
54°F or higher 99.4%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
NEW
$30,208 Vol.
NEW
$30,208 Vol.
May 3, 2026
35°F or below
$1,998 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$2,065 Vol.
1%
38-39°F
$1,792 Vol.
1%
40-41°F
$1,725 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$2,160 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$1,725 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$1,725 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,978 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,337 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$3,498 Vol.
1%
54°F or higher
$9,205 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 74°F in Denver on May 3 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market's 99.4% implied probability for 54°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on persistent upper-level ridging that favors robust daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models shows minimal precipitation risk and ample solar insolation, well above the May 3 normal high of 67°F, with historical analogs supporting such warm early-May patterns amid drier conditions ushering in the month. Realistic challenges include an unexpected mid-level trough introducing clouds or isolated showers, though current steering patterns indicate low likelihood; watch NWS updates from Boulder office this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Denver International Airport's official observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$30,208End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 74°F in Denver on May 3 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market's 99.4% implied probability for 54°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on persistent upper-level ridging that favors robust daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models shows minimal precipitation risk and ample solar insolation, well above the May 3 normal high of 67°F, with historical analogs supporting such warm early-May patterns amid drier conditions ushering in the month. Realistic challenges include an unexpected mid-level trough introducing clouds or isolated showers, though current steering patterns indicate low likelihood; watch NWS updates from Boulder office this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Denver International Airport's official observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,208End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 74°F in Denver on May 3 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market's 99.4% implied probability for 54°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on persistent upper-level ridging that favors robust daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models shows minimal precipitation risk and ample solar insolation, well above the May 3 normal high of 67°F, with historical analogs supporting such warm early-May patterns amid drier conditions ushering in the month. Realistic challenges include an unexpected mid-level trough introducing clouds or isolated showers, though current steering patterns indicate low likelihood; watch NWS updates from Boulder office this afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Denver International Airport's official observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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