Latest National Weather Service (NWS) extended forecasts and long-range models like those from AccuWeather project highs near 84–89°F (29–32°C) in Panama City, Florida, on May 3, positioning 32°C or higher as the trader-favored outcome at 49.5% implied probability amid a warmer-than-normal early May pattern noted in Old Farmer's Almanac outlooks. This reflects persistent upper-level ridging over the Southeast promoting subsidence, clear skies, and peak afternoon heating, consistent with late April warmth where prior days exceeded 32°C per resolved markets. Climatological averages hover around 79–85°F early May, but current ensemble guidance shows model spread with GFS leaning hotter. Uncertainty stems from possible sea-breeze thunderstorms capping peaks; watch NWS Tallahassee updates and overnight model runs for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on May 3?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 3?
32°C or higher 41%
31°C 28%
30°C 28%
29°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 3, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
28%
31°C
28%
32°C or higher
37%
32°C or higher 41%
31°C 28%
30°C 28%
29°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 3, 2026
22°C or below
$857 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$41 Vol.
1%
26°C
$27 Vol.
1%
27°C
$42 Vol.
1%
28°C
$74 Vol.
3%
29°C
$31 Vol.
9%
30°C
$66 Vol.
28%
31°C
$39 Vol.
28%
32°C or higher
$92 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service (NWS) extended forecasts and long-range models like those from AccuWeather project highs near 84–89°F (29–32°C) in Panama City, Florida, on May 3, positioning 32°C or higher as the trader-favored outcome at 49.5% implied probability amid a warmer-than-normal early May pattern noted in Old Farmer's Almanac outlooks. This reflects persistent upper-level ridging over the Southeast promoting subsidence, clear skies, and peak afternoon heating, consistent with late April warmth where prior days exceeded 32°C per resolved markets. Climatological averages hover around 79–85°F early May, but current ensemble guidance shows model spread with GFS leaning hotter. Uncertainty stems from possible sea-breeze thunderstorms capping peaks; watch NWS Tallahassee updates and overnight model runs for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$1,599End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service (NWS) extended forecasts and long-range models like those from AccuWeather project highs near 84–89°F (29–32°C) in Panama City, Florida, on May 3, positioning 32°C or higher as the trader-favored outcome at 49.5% implied probability amid a warmer-than-normal early May pattern noted in Old Farmer's Almanac outlooks. This reflects persistent upper-level ridging over the Southeast promoting subsidence, clear skies, and peak afternoon heating, consistent with late April warmth where prior days exceeded 32°C per resolved markets. Climatological averages hover around 79–85°F early May, but current ensemble guidance shows model spread with GFS leaning hotter. Uncertainty stems from possible sea-breeze thunderstorms capping peaks; watch NWS Tallahassee updates and overnight model runs for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,599End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service (NWS) extended forecasts and long-range models like those from AccuWeather project highs near 84–89°F (29–32°C) in Panama City, Florida, on May 3, positioning 32°C or higher as the trader-favored outcome at 49.5% implied probability amid a warmer-than-normal early May pattern noted in Old Farmer's Almanac outlooks. This reflects persistent upper-level ridging over the Southeast promoting subsidence, clear skies, and peak afternoon heating, consistent with late April warmth where prior days exceeded 32°C per resolved markets. Climatological averages hover around 79–85°F early May, but current ensemble guidance shows model spread with GFS leaning hotter. Uncertainty stems from possible sea-breeze thunderstorms capping peaks; watch NWS Tallahassee updates and overnight model runs for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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