National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature of 62-65°F in Dallas on May 1, driving the market's 99% implied probability for 67°F or below, as a recent cold front has advected cooler air from the north following severe storms and heavy rain over the past 48 hours. Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds, and scattered showers will further suppress daytime heating, well below the typical May 1 average of around 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across ECMWF, GFS, and HRRR models, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or frontal stalling allowing southerly flow, though new observational data from morning soundings could refine this; expect updated guidance by midday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on May 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 1?
67°F or below 98.4%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
NEW
$17,176 Vol.
NEW
$17,176 Vol.
May 1, 2026
67°F or below
98%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 98.4%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
NEW
$17,176 Vol.
NEW
$17,176 Vol.
May 1, 2026
67°F or below
$6,317 Vol.
98%
68-69°F
$3,148 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$2,660 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,236 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$808 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$198 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$335 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$227 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$332 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$227 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$2,031 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature of 62-65°F in Dallas on May 1, driving the market's 99% implied probability for 67°F or below, as a recent cold front has advected cooler air from the north following severe storms and heavy rain over the past 48 hours. Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds, and scattered showers will further suppress daytime heating, well below the typical May 1 average of around 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across ECMWF, GFS, and HRRR models, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or frontal stalling allowing southerly flow, though new observational data from morning soundings could refine this; expect updated guidance by midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$17,176End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature of 62-65°F in Dallas on May 1, driving the market's 99% implied probability for 67°F or below, as a recent cold front has advected cooler air from the north following severe storms and heavy rain over the past 48 hours. Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds, and scattered showers will further suppress daytime heating, well below the typical May 1 average of around 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across ECMWF, GFS, and HRRR models, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or frontal stalling allowing southerly flow, though new observational data from morning soundings could refine this; expect updated guidance by midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,176End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature of 62-65°F in Dallas on May 1, driving the market's 99% implied probability for 67°F or below, as a recent cold front has advected cooler air from the north following severe storms and heavy rain over the past 48 hours. Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds, and scattered showers will further suppress daytime heating, well below the typical May 1 average of around 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong alignment across ECMWF, GFS, and HRRR models, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or frontal stalling allowing southerly flow, though new observational data from morning soundings could refine this; expect updated guidance by midday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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