Trader consensus favors 25°C or higher at 66.5% implied probability for Chongqing's May 1 highest temperature, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting peaks of 26-28°C under cloudy skies with possible moderate rain and showers. This reflects early May climatological norms of 26-27°C average highs at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, amid ongoing seasonal warming following April's mid-20s°C trends and pre-monsoon humidity buildup in southern China. Cloud cover and precipitation risks from recent storm systems introduce uncertainty, bolstering support for 24°C (24.5%) as a moderated outcome per ECMWF model spreads. Real-time observations and final CMA updates could refine these odds before resolution via official station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 1?
25°C or higher 72.2%
24°C 25%
23°C 4%
22°C <1%
$20,579 Vol.
$20,579 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
25%
25°C or higher
72%
25°C or higher 72.2%
24°C 25%
23°C 4%
22°C <1%
$20,579 Vol.
$20,579 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
25%
25°C or higher
72%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 25°C or higher at 66.5% implied probability for Chongqing's May 1 highest temperature, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting peaks of 26-28°C under cloudy skies with possible moderate rain and showers. This reflects early May climatological norms of 26-27°C average highs at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, amid ongoing seasonal warming following April's mid-20s°C trends and pre-monsoon humidity buildup in southern China. Cloud cover and precipitation risks from recent storm systems introduce uncertainty, bolstering support for 24°C (24.5%) as a moderated outcome per ECMWF model spreads. Real-time observations and final CMA updates could refine these odds before resolution via official station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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