China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast indicates a high of 21°C in Chengdu on May 1 under overcast skies with light rain, driving trader consensus toward outcomes clustered at 20–22°C with 22°C or higher at 45.5% implied probability. Chengdu's Sichuan Basin topography traps low-level moisture, fostering persistent stratus clouds that suppress daytime heating below early-May climatological norms of 24–26°C. Recent April highs hovered around 22–23°C amid similar cloudy conditions, with minimal model divergence in 10-day outlooks. Light precipitation and cool air advection limit intensification potential, though brief clearing could push toward 22°C; monitor CMA updates through resolution for final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
22°C or higher 45.5%
21°C 27%
20°C 21%
19°C 3.7%
NEW
$16,681 Vol.
NEW
$16,681 Vol.
May 1, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
21%
21°C
27%
22°C or higher
46%
22°C or higher 45.5%
21°C 27%
20°C 21%
19°C 3.7%
NEW
$16,681 Vol.
NEW
$16,681 Vol.
May 1, 2026
12°C or below
$1,281 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,210 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,379 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$556 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,646 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,366 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,791 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,155 Vol.
4%
20°C
$822 Vol.
21%
21°C
$781 Vol.
27%
22°C or higher
$2,142 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast indicates a high of 21°C in Chengdu on May 1 under overcast skies with light rain, driving trader consensus toward outcomes clustered at 20–22°C with 22°C or higher at 45.5% implied probability. Chengdu's Sichuan Basin topography traps low-level moisture, fostering persistent stratus clouds that suppress daytime heating below early-May climatological norms of 24–26°C. Recent April highs hovered around 22–23°C amid similar cloudy conditions, with minimal model divergence in 10-day outlooks. Light precipitation and cool air advection limit intensification potential, though brief clearing could push toward 22°C; monitor CMA updates through resolution for final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$16,681End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast indicates a high of 21°C in Chengdu on May 1 under overcast skies with light rain, driving trader consensus toward outcomes clustered at 20–22°C with 22°C or higher at 45.5% implied probability. Chengdu's Sichuan Basin topography traps low-level moisture, fostering persistent stratus clouds that suppress daytime heating below early-May climatological norms of 24–26°C. Recent April highs hovered around 22–23°C amid similar cloudy conditions, with minimal model divergence in 10-day outlooks. Light precipitation and cool air advection limit intensification potential, though brief clearing could push toward 22°C; monitor CMA updates through resolution for final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,681End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast indicates a high of 21°C in Chengdu on May 1 under overcast skies with light rain, driving trader consensus toward outcomes clustered at 20–22°C with 22°C or higher at 45.5% implied probability. Chengdu's Sichuan Basin topography traps low-level moisture, fostering persistent stratus clouds that suppress daytime heating below early-May climatological norms of 24–26°C. Recent April highs hovered around 22–23°C amid similar cloudy conditions, with minimal model divergence in 10-day outlooks. Light precipitation and cool air advection limit intensification potential, though brief clearing could push toward 22°C; monitor CMA updates through resolution for final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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