**Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a modest daily maximum in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's strong tilt toward 31°C or below.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, and light winds are suppressing radiative heating and limiting afternoon temperature rises. Official model consensus shows highs centered near 28–31°C, consistent with June climatology for the Sichuan basin where average maxima hover around 30°C. No heat dome or clear-sky anomaly has developed to push readings higher, keeping probabilities of 33°C+ outcomes very low. Updated guidance through the morning will refine the final observed high, but the current atmospheric setup favors the leading outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below 80%
32°C 16%
33°C 3.1%
34°C 2.4%
NEW
$22,366 Vol.
NEW
$22,366 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
31°C or below
80%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 80%
32°C 16%
33°C 3.1%
34°C 2.4%
NEW
$22,366 Vol.
NEW
$22,366 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
31°C or below
$5,462 Vol.
80%
32°C
$2,751 Vol.
16%
33°C
$1,979 Vol.
3%
34°C
$2,263 Vol.
2%
35°C
$4,431 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$3,052 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,573 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$647 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a modest daily maximum in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's strong tilt toward 31°C or below.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, and light winds are suppressing radiative heating and limiting afternoon temperature rises. Official model consensus shows highs centered near 28–31°C, consistent with June climatology for the Sichuan basin where average maxima hover around 30°C. No heat dome or clear-sky anomaly has developed to push readings higher, keeping probabilities of 33°C+ outcomes very low. Updated guidance through the morning will refine the final observed high, but the current atmospheric setup favors the leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$22,366End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a modest daily maximum in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's strong tilt toward 31°C or below.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, and light winds are suppressing radiative heating and limiting afternoon temperature rises. Official model consensus shows highs centered near 28–31°C, consistent with June climatology for the Sichuan basin where average maxima hover around 30°C. No heat dome or clear-sky anomaly has developed to push readings higher, keeping probabilities of 33°C+ outcomes very low. Updated guidance through the morning will refine the final observed high, but the current atmospheric setup favors the leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,366End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a modest daily maximum in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's strong tilt toward 31°C or below.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, and light winds are suppressing radiative heating and limiting afternoon temperature rises. Official model consensus shows highs centered near 28–31°C, consistent with June climatology for the Sichuan basin where average maxima hover around 30°C. No heat dome or clear-sky anomaly has developed to push readings higher, keeping probabilities of 33°C+ outcomes very low. Updated guidance through the morning will refine the final observed high, but the current atmospheric setup favors the leading outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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