Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature near 27–30°C on June 16, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity in the Sichuan Basin that limit daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models highlight northeasterly flow and possible light precipitation, keeping surface temperatures below seasonal peaks of 31–33°C typical for mid-June. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51% implied probability for 27°C or below, aligns with these near-term model runs showing stabilized conditions rather than clear skies that could push readings higher. Historical climatology places average June highs around 29–30°C, with occasional spikes above 34°C rare this early in the month. Updated model outputs expected within the next 24 hours could shift probabilities if solar insolation increases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C o menos 51%
28°C 25%
29°C 15%
30°C 8%
27°C o menos
51%
28°C
25%
29°C
15%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
27°C o menos 51%
28°C 25%
29°C 15%
30°C 8%
27°C o menos
51%
28°C
25%
29°C
15%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature near 27–30°C on June 16, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity in the Sichuan Basin that limit daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models highlight northeasterly flow and possible light precipitation, keeping surface temperatures below seasonal peaks of 31–33°C typical for mid-June. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51% implied probability for 27°C or below, aligns with these near-term model runs showing stabilized conditions rather than clear skies that could push readings higher. Historical climatology places average June highs around 29–30°C, with occasional spikes above 34°C rare this early in the month. Updated model outputs expected within the next 24 hours could shift probabilities if solar insolation increases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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