Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate maximum temperatures in Chengdu on June 15 will remain at or below 31°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with regional monsoon influences. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling from precipitation, aligning with climatological June averages of 29–31°C highs at the Shuangliu station. Ensemble forecasts show limited potential for brief breaks in cloudiness that could allow brief warming toward 32°C, but model consensus keeps higher thresholds improbable. Traders monitoring real-time observations and updated model runs will see resolution hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at the airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below 80%
32°C 16%
33°C 4.0%
34°C 2.4%
NEW
$24,677 Vol.
NEW
$24,677 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
31°C or below
80%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 80%
32°C 16%
33°C 4.0%
34°C 2.4%
NEW
$24,677 Vol.
NEW
$24,677 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
31°C or below
$5,475 Vol.
80%
32°C
$2,758 Vol.
16%
33°C
$1,979 Vol.
4%
34°C
$2,273 Vol.
2%
35°C
$4,475 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$3,057 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,619 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$647 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate maximum temperatures in Chengdu on June 15 will remain at or below 31°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with regional monsoon influences. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling from precipitation, aligning with climatological June averages of 29–31°C highs at the Shuangliu station. Ensemble forecasts show limited potential for brief breaks in cloudiness that could allow brief warming toward 32°C, but model consensus keeps higher thresholds improbable. Traders monitoring real-time observations and updated model runs will see resolution hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$24,677End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate maximum temperatures in Chengdu on June 15 will remain at or below 31°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with regional monsoon influences. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling from precipitation, aligning with climatological June averages of 29–31°C highs at the Shuangliu station. Ensemble forecasts show limited potential for brief breaks in cloudiness that could allow brief warming toward 32°C, but model consensus keeps higher thresholds improbable. Traders monitoring real-time observations and updated model runs will see resolution hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,677End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate maximum temperatures in Chengdu on June 15 will remain at or below 31°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with regional monsoon influences. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling from precipitation, aligning with climatological June averages of 29–31°C highs at the Shuangliu station. Ensemble forecasts show limited potential for brief breaks in cloudiness that could allow brief warming toward 32°C, but model consensus keeps higher thresholds improbable. Traders monitoring real-time observations and updated model runs will see resolution hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at the airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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