**Trader sentiment for the June 15 Buenos Aires high centers on 13–14°C because official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models converge on a modest daytime maximum under typical mid-June conditions.** A weak cold front moving northeast across the Pampas is expected to limit solar heating and advect slightly cooler air from the south, while light winds off the Río de la Plata estuary add marine moderation that prevents stronger warming. Partial cloud cover further caps insolation, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the 13–14°C threshold; any delay in frontal passage or increased clear-sky heating could nudge the reading to 15°C, whereas earlier or stronger onshore flow would favor 13°C or below. Historical June highs average 14–15°C, so the current market split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a clear deviation from climatology.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 15?
14°C 39%
13°C 32%
15°C 21%
12°C 7.8%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
32%
14°C
39%
15°C
21%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
<1%
14°C 39%
13°C 32%
15°C 21%
12°C 7.8%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
32%
14°C
39%
15°C
21%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the June 15 Buenos Aires high centers on 13–14°C because official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models converge on a modest daytime maximum under typical mid-June conditions.** A weak cold front moving northeast across the Pampas is expected to limit solar heating and advect slightly cooler air from the south, while light winds off the Río de la Plata estuary add marine moderation that prevents stronger warming. Partial cloud cover further caps insolation, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the 13–14°C threshold; any delay in frontal passage or increased clear-sky heating could nudge the reading to 15°C, whereas earlier or stronger onshore flow would favor 13°C or below. Historical June highs average 14–15°C, so the current market split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a clear deviation from climatology.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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