Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs point to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing Monday afternoon across Central Texas, limiting peak heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 80–85°F. Elevated dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will add moisture that both caps surface temperatures and raises heat-index values, while light south-southeast winds reduce mixing. This pattern deviates from Austin’s June climatological average high near 93–94°F, reflecting a transient moisture surge rather than a persistent cool anomaly. Updated NWS forecast discussions and afternoon model guidance expected later today will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on June 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 6.1%
NEW
$12,491 Vol.
NEW
$12,491 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 6.1%
NEW
$12,491 Vol.
NEW
$12,491 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
73°F or below
$139 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$273 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$232 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$728 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$728 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$977 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$836 Vol.
25%
86-87°F
$1,476 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$1,454 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$3,501 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$2,875 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs point to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing Monday afternoon across Central Texas, limiting peak heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 80–85°F. Elevated dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will add moisture that both caps surface temperatures and raises heat-index values, while light south-southeast winds reduce mixing. This pattern deviates from Austin’s June climatological average high near 93–94°F, reflecting a transient moisture surge rather than a persistent cool anomaly. Updated NWS forecast discussions and afternoon model guidance expected later today will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$12,491End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs point to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing Monday afternoon across Central Texas, limiting peak heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 80–85°F. Elevated dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will add moisture that both caps surface temperatures and raises heat-index values, while light south-southeast winds reduce mixing. This pattern deviates from Austin’s June climatological average high near 93–94°F, reflecting a transient moisture surge rather than a persistent cool anomaly. Updated NWS forecast discussions and afternoon model guidance expected later today will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,491End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs point to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing Monday afternoon across Central Texas, limiting peak heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 80–85°F. Elevated dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will add moisture that both caps surface temperatures and raises heat-index values, while light south-southeast winds reduce mixing. This pattern deviates from Austin’s June climatological average high near 93–94°F, reflecting a transient moisture surge rather than a persistent cool anomaly. Updated NWS forecast discussions and afternoon model guidance expected later today will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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