Latest KNMI guidance forecasts a 24°C maximum temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 1 under mostly sunny skies with 80% sunshine, southeast winds at force 3, and just 10% precipitation risk, anchoring trader consensus on 23°C (48%) and 24°C (38.5%) outcomes. This split reflects ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS, where slight variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon sea-breeze development at the coastal site, and exact cloud cover could cap peaks at 23°C despite warm advection from a persistent high-pressure ridge. Historical May averages near 15°C underscore the anomalous warmth, but resolution hinges on realized insolation; monitor hourly KNMI nowcasts for shifts before evening close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 1?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 1?
23°C 48%
24°C 38%
22°C 5%
25°C 4.3%
NEW
$28,257 Vol.
NEW
$28,257 Vol.
May 1, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
48%
24°C
38%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 48%
24°C 38%
22°C 5%
25°C 4.3%
NEW
$28,257 Vol.
NEW
$28,257 Vol.
May 1, 2026
17°C or below
$659 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$6,303 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,533 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,407 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,031 Vol.
2%
22°C
$2,790 Vol.
5%
23°C
$2,330 Vol.
48%
24°C
$1,605 Vol.
38%
25°C
$1,318 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,210 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance forecasts a 24°C maximum temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 1 under mostly sunny skies with 80% sunshine, southeast winds at force 3, and just 10% precipitation risk, anchoring trader consensus on 23°C (48%) and 24°C (38.5%) outcomes. This split reflects ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS, where slight variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon sea-breeze development at the coastal site, and exact cloud cover could cap peaks at 23°C despite warm advection from a persistent high-pressure ridge. Historical May averages near 15°C underscore the anomalous warmth, but resolution hinges on realized insolation; monitor hourly KNMI nowcasts for shifts before evening close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$28,257End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance forecasts a 24°C maximum temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 1 under mostly sunny skies with 80% sunshine, southeast winds at force 3, and just 10% precipitation risk, anchoring trader consensus on 23°C (48%) and 24°C (38.5%) outcomes. This split reflects ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS, where slight variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon sea-breeze development at the coastal site, and exact cloud cover could cap peaks at 23°C despite warm advection from a persistent high-pressure ridge. Historical May averages near 15°C underscore the anomalous warmth, but resolution hinges on realized insolation; monitor hourly KNMI nowcasts for shifts before evening close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,257End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest KNMI guidance forecasts a 24°C maximum temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 1 under mostly sunny skies with 80% sunshine, southeast winds at force 3, and just 10% precipitation risk, anchoring trader consensus on 23°C (48%) and 24°C (38.5%) outcomes. This split reflects ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS, where slight variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon sea-breeze development at the coastal site, and exact cloud cover could cap peaks at 23°C despite warm advection from a persistent high-pressure ridge. Historical May averages near 15°C underscore the anomalous warmth, but resolution hinges on realized insolation; monitor hourly KNMI nowcasts for shifts before evening close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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